Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $174K traded · $18K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

5%December 31

December 315%

How the odds have moved

December 31: 4% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
August 31	<1%			0¢		$66.2K
December 31	5%		3¢	7¢	$15.38	$108K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Situational Awareness

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Goessel USD 411 Deploys ZeroEyes AI Gun Detection and Intelligent Situational Awareness Solution to Strengthen School Safety@PRNewswire · 3 days agoPHILADELPHIA, Aug. 18, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- ZeroEyes, creators of the leading multi-analytics weapons detection and threat intelligence platform, today announced that its proactive AI gun detection and intelligent situational awareness…
Noise Cancelling Headphones and Earbuds Can Mask Danger: Why Situational Awareness Mattersecoustics.com · 4 days agoThe tragic death of an Arizona mother raises an important question about ANC headphones, outdoor exercise, and personal safety. Sometimes hearing what’s happening around you matters more than hearing every note. Thelma Candelaria, 47, went…
Elkhart USD 218 Deploys ZeroEyes AI Gun Detection and Intelligent Situational Awareness TechnologyYahoo Finance · 5 days agoKansas Unified School District Strengthens Campus Safety with Proactive Security SolutionPHILADELPHIA, Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- ZeroEyes, creators of the leading multi-analytics weapons detection and threat intelligence platform…
Austin Prep IQ league focuses on development, situational awarenessNew England Baseball Journal · 5 days agoNew England Baseball Journal Twelve-year-old Tommy Whalen stepped to the plate with the bases loaded on Opening Day of the Austin Prep Fall IQ League, primed for first-inning heroics. The Chelmsford, Mass., native crushed a pull-side grand…
Dan Quinn had total situational awareness in viral 4th down confusion clipYahoo Sports · 6 days agoThe Washington Commanders lost to the San Francisco 49ers on Monday, Oct. 19, to drop to 1-4-1 on the season and sit alone in last place in the NFC East after Week 6. The Commanders staged a late comeback, but the 49ers held on for a 23-17…
Mass. city aims to deter high-speed cyclists with new rumble strips on popular pathCBS News · 23 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 7:14 PM EDT / CBS Boston A Massachusetts community is trying something new to deter cyclists from speeding on a popular trail. Though signs already exist reminding cyclists to slow down on Somerville's Community Path…
Warhound raises $200M to engineer war dogs and arm them with Anduril gearTechCrunch · 4 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Colossal Biosciences’ Ben Lamm and Andruil’s Palmer Luckey had an idea to genetically engineer war dogs for the U.S. military, law enforcement, and other emergency…
Axon Announces Body 5: Next-Generation Camera Built for the AI Era@PRNewswire · 2 days agoOct 24, 2026, 13:00 ET Axon Body 5 delivers 25x the AI processing power of earlier-generation cameras, with upgraded connectivity, audio and battery life to support real-time situational awareness in the field SCOTTSDALE, Ariz., Oct. 24…
Vernon College Deploys ZeroEyes AI Gun Detection and Intelligent Situational Awareness TechnologyYahoo Finance · 7 days agoWith campuses in the rural north Texas communities of Vernon and Wichita Falls, Vernon College serves approximately 2,300 students across a legislatively designated 12-county service area. Committed to student-centered, high-impact…
Situational Awareness Can Save Your Life | VilcheRed Bluff Daily News · 7 days agoRed Bluff Daily News Driver in deadly Kansas soccer field crash released while investigation continues Steph Curry leaves Warriors’ open practice with ankle injury Musk pledges to give a share of his SpaceX company to ‘every kid in…
Axon reveals next-generation body camera: Axon Body 5AZ Big Media · 32 h agoAxon (Nasdaq: AXON), the global leader in public safety technology, today announced Axon Body 5, its newest body-worn camera designed to bring more powerful intelligence, connectivity and real-time support directly to officers in the…
US Navy and Army repurpose MQ-8C Fire Scout drones for sensor testing, saving $70 MillionSSBCrack News · 42 h agoAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$174K

This week$675

At stake$18K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness announces that it will cease operations, that Situational Awareness LP will be wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP will be returned, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conversion to a family office or proprietary vehicle, or a distribution of assets in kind to investors, will qualify if all outside investor capital is returned or announced to be returned. A transition of all assets to a liquidating trust or special purpose vehicle will qualify if that vehicle is announced to accept no new outside capital. A consensus of credible reporting that S

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions