The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
June 30
<1%
1¢
$115K
July 15
<1%
▼ 3
0¢
$2.8M
July 21
<1%
▼ 3
0¢
$239K
July 24
<1%
▼ 9
0¢
$503K
July 27
<1%
0¢
$252K
July 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$2.3M
August 15
<1%
0¢
$771K
August 31
<1%
▼ 3
0¢
$1.5M
September 30
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$1.1M
October 31
6%
▼ 2
4¢
7¢
$14.29
$374K
December 31
39%
▼ 2
38¢
39¢
$2.56
$73K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikesFox News · 10 h agoIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as elections loom. BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as…
Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned attacks on AmericansFox News · 11 h agoFormer Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reacts to a memo about potential Iranian attacks on Americans, the reported threats to U.S. interests abroad and the American military presence in the region. Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned…
Iran DOUBLING DOWN on nuclear ambitions: ReportFox News · 30 h agoFox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane discusses reports that Iran is rebuilding its nuclear program during 'Sunday Morning Futures.' ... Iran DOUBLING DOWN on nuclear ambitions: Report Fox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane…
Iran steps up efforts to target Americans, unclassified memo warnsFox News · 8 h agoFox News senior strategic analyst Gen. Jack Keane joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss an unclassified memo detailing Iran's increased efforts to target U.S. citizens and analyzes potential military responses in the region. Iran steps up…
Trump backs Netanyahu as Iran tensions loom over Israeli electionFox News · 4 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on President Donald Trump's backing of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the Israeli election. Ret. USAF Brigadier Gen. John Teichert provides analysis on 'America…
Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's strategy on IranFox News · 14 h agoNational security policy analyst Andrew Harding joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss massive protests sweeping across Europe and Trump weighing his next steps regarding the Iran deal. Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's…
Netanyahu reportedly pressured military to attack Iran in runup to electionthe Guardian · 4 h agoIsraeli prime minister increases alarmist rhetoric as his far-right coalition narrowly trails in polls Benjamin Netanyahu has resorted to increasingly alarmist rhetoric and reportedly put pressure on Israel’s military to take action…
New threats could push US and Iran toward warsemafor.com · 25 h agoThe US director of national intelligence warned that Iran was in the “advanced stages” of planning attacks against American officials abroad, prompting personnel evacuations and heightening the risk of a return to all-out war. US President…
Netanyahu reportedly sought to resume strikes against Iran before Israeli electionsFox News · 3 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's reported push to resume strikes against Iran on 'The Story.' ... Netanyahu reportedly sought to resume strikes against Iran before…
A Netanyahu defeat would make Iran war harder for the U.S.CNBC · 16 h agoDania Arayssi, Senior Analyst at New Lines Institute explains how a Netanyahu election loss could significantly complicate a U.S. intervention in Iran, as Washington relies heavily on Israeli intelligence and partnership to avoid entering…
Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER!Fox News · 30 h agoPresident Donald Trump sharply criticized Barack Obama's previous JCPOA deal with Iran, calling it the 'worst and dumbest deal' he has ever seen. Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER! President Donald Trump sharply criticized…
Bessent says Iran's economy is collapsing as Trump weighs next moveFox News · 7 h agoTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins Brian Kilmeade to discuss President Donald Trump's economic crackdown on Iran, mounting pressure on the Iranian regime, trade tensions with Canada and Mexico and the outlook for the U.S. economy…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
