Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
Install
Alaska Senate Election Winner
The odds
74%Mary Peltola
- Mary Peltola74%▼ 2
- Sen. Dan Sullivan26%▲ 1
- Ann Diener<1%
- Dustin Darden<1%
- Richard Grayson<1%
- Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.<1%
- David Leslie<1%
How the odds have moved
Mary Peltola: 74% on Oct 20, 74% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola | 74% | ▼ 2 | 73¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | $943K |
| Sen. Dan Sullivan | 26% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | $639K |
| Ann Diener | <1% | 0¢ | $38.1K | |||
| Dustin Darden | <1% | 0¢ | $24.3K | |||
| Richard Grayson | <1% | 0¢ | $24.9K | |||
| Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. | <1% | 0¢ | ||||
| David Leslie | <1% | 0¢ | $2.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Senate, Mary Peltola, Sen. Dan Sullivan
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Alaska's 2026 Senate race: What to know about Mary Peltola vs Dan SullivanAlaska is one of just a handful of states expected to decide which party controls the Senate for President Donald Trump’s final two years in the White House. Aside from the two Dan Sullivans vying for the last spot (yes, there are… -
Alaska Senate Candidate Cues Viral Reaction With Embarrassing Thing She Brought to Live DebateDebate preparation is generally considered a good thing. But when you're running for the United States Senate, voters probably expect you to be able to discuss your own record without constantly consulting a cheat sheet. Former Alaska… -
Mary Peltola Is Pulling Ahead in the Final Stretch Against Dan SullivanOct 20, 2026 at 11:35 AM EDT Oct 20, 2026 at 03:23 PM EDT Alaska Democratic candidate Mary Peltola has pulled ahead of Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan in a string of recent polls of their critical Senate race, but the lead remains… -
Murray Walsh: Who is the Real Mary Peltola?Home » Murray Walsh: Who is the Real Mary Peltola? Oct. 21, 2026 – September is a special month for me, especially this year. I walked down the rear air stair of an Alaska Airlines 727 in mid-September of 1976 in Juneau and have been an… -
Mary Peltola Meets Alaska Natives at Elders & Youth Conference, Outlines Senate PrioritiesU.S. Senate candidate Mary Peltola met with Alaska Native elders, youth and other attendees at the First Alaskans Institute’s 43rd Annual Statewide Elders & Youth Conference in Anchorage on Monday and Tuesday, discussing priorities… -
Two Dans, four choices, one big headache for GOP in Alaska Senate raceRepublicans are sweating what a four-way ballot and ranked-choice tabulation with a same-name rival could mean for Sen. Dan Sullivan’s reelection bid. 10/20/2026 10:00 AM EDT ANCHORAGE — Alaska Republicans have railed for years against… -
Anger over rising prices could be decisive in Alaska’s unusually close Senate raceVoters in Alaska told NBC News that the skyrocketing cost of living is the main issue driving anger at Trump and GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, who faces a tight re-election race. ANCHORAGE, Alaska — As voters in the Last Frontier prepare to… -
Feds announce $38M in Alaska energy grants amid wave of election-season federal fundingANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - The U.S. Department of Energy is touting $38 million in grants to shore up electric reliability and affordability in Alaska. It’s the second big federal funding pledge for the state in a week as early voting is… -
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Lead In Texas, Ohio, Michigan, IowaDemocrats are ahead in at least four of seven Senate races rated as toss ups, according to a string of new surveys—the latest to show Democrats with an advantage in the midterms. Ohio: Democrat and former Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown leads GOP… -
$24.49 for a gallon of gas. $6.69 a gallon for diesel. Alaska fuel prices as big as the stateANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - In the race for Alaska’s U.S. Senate seat, energy prices, fuel and the cost of living in general have dominated the race. In the largest state in the country, there are also the largest fuel prices. “We just do… -
GOP loses grip on 7 scandal-hit Senate races that now stand between Trump and impeachmentPresident Donald Trump speaks to the media as he leaves after a Team USA reception hosting athletes who competed for Team USA at the 2026 Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games in Milano Cortina, Italy, in the East Room at the White House in… - Trump administration announces hundreds of millions in federal funding for Alaska as election nearsFor Alaskans who rely on federally funded services ranging from ferries to weather monitoring to energy projects, the first year of the second Trump administration was riddled with anxiety. Budget cuts, canceled grants and frozen funding…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions