Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Ohio Senate Election Winner
The odds
68%Sherrod Brown (D)
- Sherrod Brown (D)68%▲ 2
- Jon Husted (R)32%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Sherrod Brown (D): 63% on Oct 20, 68% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 8 PM ETSherrod Brown (D): 64% → 70%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Brown (D) | 68% | ▲ 2 | 67¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | $1M |
| Jon Husted (R) | 32% | ▼ 1 | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | $745K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio Senate
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Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midtermsFox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on the closely watched Ohio Senate and governor races ahead of the midterm elections. Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midterms Fox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on… -
Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretchFox News Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretch Ohio Sen. Jon Husted joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss early voting numbers, his reelection campaign strategy and the key issues shaping the midterm elections. Ohio Senate candidate Jon… -
APTOPIX Election 2026 Ohio SenateTelegraphHerald.com Former President Barack Obama speaks during a campaign rally for Democratic Ohio Senate candidate Sherrod Brown, Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, in Cleveland. Dubuque leaders seek federal designation to spur downtown… -
Election 2026 Ohio SenateClinton Herald Mike Ditka, the quintessential Chicago Bear and a Pro Football Hall of Famer, dies at 86 Explosion and fire erupt at Quaker Oats plant in Cedar Rapids, Iowa; no injuries Amy Acton, Democratic candidate for governor of Ohio… -
Donald Trump Compliments Nicki Minaj’s Body at Michigan RallyOct 25, 2026 at 04:53 PM EDT President Donald Trump made an unexpected remark about rapper Nicki Minaj’s appearance during a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday, briefly turning attention away from his midterm campaign message. After… -
Obama warns of division as Trump attacks Muslim Senate candidatePresident Donald Trump escalated his attacks on Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed on Sunday, accusing him without evidence of being a Muslim extremist, a day after former President Barack Obama defended El-Sayed against… -
US midterms 2026: Political ad spending tops $10 billion — where is the money coming from and what is driving the surge?Spending on political advertising for the 2026 US midterm elections has crossed $10 billion, setting a new record for a midterm election cycle. The total is expected to reach $11.6 billion by Election Day, according to media tracking firm… -
Ramaswamy visits Tri-State as debate over controversial ad continuesCINCINNATI (WKRC) — Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy is doubling down on his controversial TV and internet advertisements, pumping an additional $4 million into ad buys. In the ad, the mother of his opponent, Dr. Amy Acton… -
Southwest Ohio GOP candidate bus tour urges early voting, takes aim at Democrat foesSeveral Ohio candidates on a bus tour of the southwest portion of the state urged Republican voters to cast their ballots early ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. Republican candidate for Ohio governor Vivek Ramaswamy, during a campaign… -
‘Most Potent Weapon’: Democrats Turn To Barack Obama For Final Election PushFormer US President Barack Obama is returning to the campaign trail as Democrats make their final push before Election Day, with the party relying on his popularity and fundraising reach in several closely contested races, according to a… -
Map Shows Where Data Centers Are Being Built in Ohio Amid Midterm DebateOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Data centers have emerged as a central dividing line in the Ohio Senate race between Republican Senator Jon Husted and Democratic former Senator Sherrod Brown. Large AI data centers have been popping up across… - ‘Most potent weapon’: Obama arrives to boost Democrats in battlegroundsThe former president is taking his star power on a three-state swing through must-win territory just 10 days before Election Day. Democrats are hoping Barack Obama — their “closer in chief” — still has the magic. The former president is…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions