South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3 · $66K today · $1.1M traded · $607K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

78%Darline Graham Nordone (R)

Darline Graham Nordone (R)78%▼ 3
Annie Andrews (D)23%▲ 3

How the odds have moved

Darline Graham Nordone (R): 83% on Oct 20, 78% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Darline Graham Nordone (R)	78%	▼ 3	77¢	78¢	$1.28	$456K
Annie Andrews (D)	23%	▲ 3	22¢	23¢	$4.35	$629K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)Darline Graham Nordone (R)Kalshi 76%Polymarket 78%2 pts apart

South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)

76%Darline Graham

Darline Graham76%▼ 4
Annie Andrews25%▲ 4

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: South Carolina Senate

Search ›

Graham gains data center industry backing in tight South Carolina Senate raceCrypto Briefing · 16 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
‘Something weird happening’ as GOP faces claims it’s hiding Darline GrahamRaw Story · 12 h agoUS President Donald Trump embraces Republican US Senate candidate Darline Graham during a rally ahead of the midterm elections, at T. Ed Garrison Arena at Clemson University in Pendleton, South Carolina, US, October 21, 2026. REUTERS/Umit…
Politics MondayPBS News · 2 days agoAmy Walter and Tamara Keith kick off the week with an in-depth discussion of the latest political news. NPR’s Tamara Keith and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter join Geoff Bennett to discuss the latest political news…
Three men allege late Lindsey Graham paid for sex one says he was 17 and filmed without consentynetglobal · 3 days agoReleased three months after the senator's death, ‘The CLOSETocracy’ has divided conservatives; The New York Times could not verify the men's identities or claims, while his sister Darline fights to retain his South Carolina Senate seat in…
South Carolina's Historic Senate Race Pits Two Women in a Tightening Dead-Heat FightLatin Times · 3 days agoEleven days before South Carolina voters render their verdict on a race that was never supposed to be competitive, the contest for the Palmetto State's open Senate seat has become one of the most scrutinized in the 2026 midterm cycle — a…
The Latest: Trump backs Vivek Ramaswamy on ad featuring Amy Acton’s estranged motherKSAT · 3 days agoGOP Rep. Ralph Norman’s son is endorsing a Democrat in the South Carolina Senate race In an op-ed Friday, Warren Norman wrote that he is supporting the Republican gubernatorial nominee but not Republican Sen. Darline Graham, the sister of…
Trump rallies for Graham as South Carolina Senate race tightens@WFAE · 4 days agoPresident Trump wrapped up his midterm campaign swing through the Carolinas Wednesday night with a stop near Clemson to rally support for interim South Carolina Republican Sen. Darline Graham. Trump attacked Democratic candidate Dr. Annie…
South Carolina Senate Race & Governor Race 2026 | Graham vs Andrews Polls + Kalshi & Polymarket SC Senate Race PredictionsAction Network · 4 days agoAction Network
Sen. Darline Graham calls on Annie Andrews to release tax returns in tight S.C. race@WRDW_WAGT · 4 days agoCOLUMBIA, S.C. - South Carolina’s U.S. Senate race grew increasingly contentious Thursday as Republican Sen. Darline Graham held a news conference challenging her Democratic opponent, Dr. Annie Andrews, to release her tax returns. The…
Trump Props Up Graham in Last-Minute Push in South Carolina Senate RaceThe Washington Sun · 5 days agoDemocrat Annie Andrews said Graham’s need for Trump’s visit shows she’s losing. President Donald Trump told the crowd that Sen. Darline Graham would never let them down. (Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP) October 21, 2026 09:49 p.m. By Meg…
'Speak for her': Democrat Annie Andrews says Sen. Darline Graham needs President Donald Trump to campaign for her, calling South Carolina's Senate race 'neck and neck' before his Pendleton rallyKnewz · 5 days agoU.S. President Donald Trump campaigned for U.S. Senate candidate Darline Graham in North Carolina, while her opponent, Annie Andrews, criticized her for receiving help to maintain her relevance in the campaign. Graham succeeded her…
Trump rallies behind Darline Graham in South Carolina Senate race ahead of midtermsThe Business Standard · 5 days agoThursday October 22, 2026 US President Donald Trump travelled to South Carolina yesterday (21 October) to campaign for Senator Darline Graham, whose early struggles in her first election campaign since replacing her late brother have…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$1.1M

Today$66K

This week$16K

At stake$607K

In the news1 headlines today, 16 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their r

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions