Texas Senate winner? (2026)
64%James Talarico
- James Talarico64%▼ 2
- Ken Paxton36%▲ 1
Install
Florida Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
90%Ashley Moody
- Ashley Moody90%▼ 1
- Angie Nixon10%
How the odds have moved
Ashley Moody: 91% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody | 90% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 578.6K |
| Angie Nixon | 10% | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 1.3M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Senate, Ashley Moody, Angie Nixon
Search ›-
Ashley Moody blasts Angie Nixon's call to jail her as 'communist ploy'Sen. Ashley Moody, R-Fla., joins 'Fox & Friends First' to warn voters about progressive challenger Angie Nixon and react to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders campaigning on her behalf. Ashley Moody blasts Angie Nixon's call to jail her as… -
Florida Senate race heats up as Angie Nixon faces Ashley MoodyWBZ News Weekend 11pm CBS News Chicago Weekends 10pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 11pm CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8pm CBS News New York Weekend 11pm CBS News Philadelphia Weekend 11pm KDKA News Weekend 11pm CBS News Texas Weekend 10pm -
New Poll Shows Ashley Moody Significantly Leading Angie NixonA new poll conducted by On Point Politics casts some doubt on state Representative Angie Nixon's ability to flip Florida's Senate seat in the midterms. Five states polled. Every result PUBLIC. 🔵Michigan - El-Sayed +6.3 🔵Texas - Talarico… -
SEN. ASHLEY MOODY TOPS $20.6M IN FINAL STRETCH AGAINST SOCIALIST ANGIE NIXONAshley Moody for U.S. Senate SEN. ASHLEY MOODY TOPS $20.6M IN FINAL STRETCH AGAINST SOCIALIST ANGIE NIXON TAMPA, Fla. — Today, Senator Ashley Moody announced her campaign has raised over $5.8 million in the third quarter, pushing her total… -
UNF poll gives Ashley Moody 4-point lead over Angie Nixon as turnout takes center stageTo voter Roy Lyons, Los Angeles has been losing luster for years. A homeless crisis endures despite billions of dollars of spending. City Hall’s budget keeps swelling — as do the taxes needed to support it. There's something happening in… -
WATCH LIVE: Rep. Ro Khanna hosts student town hall with Maxwell Frost, Angie NixonFox News WATCH LIVE: Rep. Ro Khanna hosts student town hall with Maxwell Frost, Angie Nixon Rep. Ro Khanna hosts a "Students for Solidarity" town hall at the University of Central Florida alongside Rep. Maxwell Frost and Senate nominee… -
In Ybor City, Angie Nixon and Bernie Sanders rally against ‘lying, cheating, scheming, thieving Ashley Moody’ (w/photos)Surrounded by more than 2,000 rain-soaked supporters at the Cuban Club courtyard in Ybor City last Saturday, Rebecca Dean made an admission: She’s casting a ballot for Angie Nixon. The 61-year-old teacher from Gulfport told the crowd she’s… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders holds event with Angie Nixon in TallahasseeWATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders holds rally with Angie Nixon in Florida Fox News WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders holds event with Angie Nixon in Tallahassee Sen. Bernie Sanders joins Florida candidate Angie Nixon for a "Fighting Oligarchy" event in… -
Bernie Sanders Backs Angie Nixon in Florida Senate RaceSuaraGarut.ID Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont traveled to Florida on Saturday to support Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon, holding rallies in Tampa and Melbourne as she seeks to unseat Republican Sen. Ashley Moody. The campaign… -
Update: Watch the Nauseated Look on Sen. Murphy’s Face When Angie Nixon Calls for GOP Opponent to Be JailedA top Democrat was left in nauseated shock after the crazy Democratic Florida Senate candidate for whom he’s been stumping let the cat right out of the bag. Sen. Chris Murphy, the deputy secretary of the Senate Democratic Caucus, appeared… -
Sen. Ashley Moody discusses affordability during Northeast Florida campaign stopST. JOHNS COUNTY, Fla. — Sen. Ashley Moody stopped at Sonny’s BBQ in St. Johns County on Tuesday as Election Day approaches and early voting begins in many parts of Northeast Florida. During the stop, Action News Jax asked Moody about… -
Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody Lead in Polls, Hispanic Vote Trends BlueRepublicans are holding their polling leads in Florida's U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections, despite Democratic candidates seemingly making inroads with the Latino vote. In a new N+ Univision poll Byron Donalds leads David Jolly by…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
66%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party66%▼ 2
- Republican Party35%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
63%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)63%▼ 4
- Ken Paxton (R)37%▲ 3
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
80%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham80%
- Annie Andrews21%▲ 1
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
66%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep66%
- D-House, R-Senate25%▲ 3
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Maine Senate winner? (2026)
63%Troy Jackson
- Troy Jackson63%▼ 1
- Susan Collins37%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.