María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
The odds
5%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20265%▼ 12
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 3% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $51.2K | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 5% | ▼ 12 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | $7.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
Search ›-
Opposition deepfake video sparks outrage in Spain ahead of electionVideo shows AI likenesses of people linked to Pedro Sánchez’s Socialist party appearing to admit to wrongdoing A political ad from Spain’s main opposition party that used a deepfake video of the prime minister’s wife has sparked outrage… -
Venezuela Gold Deal Testimony Names DelcyA Spanish businessman told a Madrid judge that his Venezuela gold deal came through Delcy Rodríguez, now Venezuela’s acting president. The US stopped sanctioning her on 1 April 2026, and the Madrid daily El Mundo reported the testimony on… -
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero Siblings: All About Juan Rodríguez ZapateroJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is a Spanish politician and member of the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE). Born on 4 August 1960 in Valladolid, Castile and León, he grew up in León, the city with which he has long been closely… - Spain's Zapatero says seized jewels worth $1.5 million were a 'courtesy gift"Published on 07/23/2026 at 09:48 am EDT - Modified on 07/23/2026 at 09:54 am EDT MADRID, July 23 (Reuters) - Spanish former Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero said on Thursday that EUR1.3 million ($1.5 million) of jewellery seized…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions