Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?

Polymarket Finance › Companies Closes Dec 31 · $357K today · $624K traded · $416K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

14%chance▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 16% on Nov 9, 14% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	14%	▲ 1	13¢	14¢	$7.14	$582K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Jensen Huang

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Trump discusses Jensen Huang affair: 'He is suffering'Fox News · 15 h agoPresident Donald Trump addresses allegations that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had an affair with an alleged Chinese spy during a White House press briefing. Trump discusses Jensen Huang affair: 'He is suffering' President Donald Trump…
Nvidia investigating CEO Jensen Huang: Your next moveCNBC · 21 h agoThe Investment Committee debates how to trade Nvidia after a report reveals CEO Jensen Huang had an affair with who U.S. intelligence officials reportedly believe is an alleged spy for Chinaâs Ministry of State Security. Nvidia…
Trump says FBI is investigating Nvidia CEO Jensen HuangCBS News · 15 h agoPresident Trump said Monday that the FBI is looking into Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang over allegations Huang was the target of a Chinese intelligence effort. CBS News' Olivia Rinaldi reports and Ian Duncan, tech policy reporter at the…
What could China get from Jensen Huang?The Verge · 14 h agoThis is why, as both cofounder and longtime CEO of Nvidia, Jensen Huang would be a valuable target for a foreign adversary with sights on the American AI industry. Megaspeed’s sister company, headquartered in Malaysia, spent $4.8 billion…
President Trump says Jensen Huang should stay on as Nvidia CEOCNBC · 23 h agoCNBC's Eamon Javers reports on President Trump and the White House's response to the situation with Jensen Huang and Nvidia. President Trump says Jensen Huang should stay on as Nvidia CEO
Nvidia stock plunges on investigation into CEO Jensen Huangcnn.com · 15 h agoMost stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET ... Nvidia stock plunges on investigation into CEO Jensen Huang Clare Duffy…
Here’s what Trump said he knew about Jensen HuangThe Verge · 14 h agoIn a White House press conference, President Trump was vague about when learned of Jensen Huang’s affair President Trump held a White House press briefing earlier today and responded to several questions about his knowledge of Nvidia CEO…
Adam Johnson weighs in on Jensen Huang: Nvidia is the juggernautFox Business · 25 h agoNvidia espionage case sparks discussion between Taylor Riggs and Adam Johnson as stock prices slide. The board of directors is investigating the spying matter after Jensen Huang admitted to a personal affair. Financial analysts and global…
Nvidia shares tumble as the company says it's investigating CEO Jensen HuangNPR · 24 h agoNvidia's share price falls after the company begins an investigation into CEO Jensen Huang's alleged relationship with a woman accused of being a Chinese spy. Nvidia shares tumble as the company says it's investigating CEO Jensen Huang…
Historical precedent suggests Jensen Huang unlikely to exit Nvidia, says Wedbush's BrysonCNBC · 13 h agoMatt Bryson of Wedbush acknowledges key-person risk at Nvidia but reiterates his outperform rating on the stock. He expects it will be "well into next year" before the U.S. government reaches a conclusion on the matter and sees "no reason"…
Jensen Huang pulls out of ElevenLabs Summit amid Nvidia controversyTechCrunch · 18 h agoIvan covers global consumer tech developments at TechCrunch. He is based out of India and has previously worked at publications including Huffington Post and The Next Web. You can contact or verify outreach from Ivan by emailing…
President Trump discusses Jensen Huang affair and advanced Blackwell chip technologyFox News · 16 h agoPresident Trump addresses the affair involving Jensen Huang and notes his advanced Blackwell chip technology. He expresses sympathy for Huang's suffering and mentions that the FBI is looking into the situation. President Trump discusses…

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When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? (Before Jan 1, 2033)

Jun 16, 2029even chance by

Before Jan 1, 202948%▲ 6
Before Jan 1, 203159%▼ 23
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$624K

Today$357K

This week$624K

At stake$416K

In the news451 headlines today, 1,116 this week

Followed here sinceNov 8, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed, as CEO of NVIDIA. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position; resignation includes retiring or stepping down as CEO, including to take another role at NVIDIA, and removal includes dismissal or termination by

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions