Largest Company end of October 2026?
83%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA83%▲ 6
- Apple16%▼ 2
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
46%Morgan Stanley
- Morgan Stanley46%▼ 40
- Goldman Sachs44%▲ 36
- JPMorgan Chase3%
- Citigroup3%
- Bank of America2%
- No Listed Underwriter2%
How the odds have moved
Morgan Stanley: 82% on Oct 20, 46% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 9 AM ETMorgan Stanley: 85% → 46%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 46% | ▼ 40 | 45¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 18.1K |
| Goldman Sachs | 44% | ▲ 36 | 41¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 17.6K |
| JPMorgan Chase | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.7K | |
| Citigroup | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.1K | |
| Bank of America | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.3K | |
| No Listed Underwriter | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Anthropic's IPO
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Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO — and more AI newsFrom Anthropicâs upcoming IPO to OpenAIâs funding round that could value the AI giant at more than $1 trillion, CNBCâs Kate Rooney breaks down the headlines in AI this week. Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO â and more AI news -
Anthropic IPO is biggest question mark for entire market: Vital Knowledge's CrisafulliCNBCâs âClosing Bell Overtimeâ team discusses the week's trading action, the upcoming week of earnings results and more with Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge and Brad Conger of Hirtle and Company. Anthropic IPO is biggest question… -
Higher rates are causing compression in P/E multiples, says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management senior portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more. Higher rates are causing compression in… -
Earnings season is in full swing. These are Morgan Stanley's highest conviction playsMorgan Stanley expects a handful of stocks that are reporting quarterly results soon to see big gains. Here's the list ... -
Anthropic IPO odds near record highs despite market volatilityEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are dominating the AI stock boom. Here's their edgeFueled by the global boom in artificial intelligence stocks, relaxed capital rules and greater lending to hedge funds, big Wall Street banks have already had a banner year for equities trading — even with one quarter left to go. The five… -
Why OpenAI could be in trouble if Anthropic's IPO doesn't go wellManhattan Venture Partners managing partner Jared Carmel sits down with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi to discuss what OpenAI's (OPAI.PVT) decision to stay private could mean for the AI developer in the long run, especially… -
Anthropic IPO: What should investors consider when valuing the AI company? Aswath Damodaran explainsAnthropic is on track for an IPO expected in mid-November, reporting impressive revenues of $16.3 billion. However, the company faces a staggering net loss of over $80 billion for the year. Valuation expert Aswath Damodaran warns that IPO… -
Morgan Stanley Posts Record Revenue as AI Deal Fees Pour InWealth Management pulled in record net new assets of $232 billion this quarter, with just over half tied to IPO-related flows. Morgan Stanley also co-advises Anthropic's planned IPO and is a lead underwriter on SpaceX's roughly $86 billion… -
Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) Stock Price Target Raised at Morgan StanleyPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT – Free Report) had its target price raised by Morgan Stanley from $640.00 to $700.00 in a report published on Friday morning,Benzinga reports. Morgan Stanley… -
Anthropic IPO, MANGOS ETFs and the Future of the AI TradeIn this episode of ETF Spotlight, I speak with Paul Marino, Chief Revenue Officer of Themes ETFs, about the AI trade, the Anthropic IPO, and investing in MANGOS companies. The bull market recently celebrated its fourth anniversary, but… -
Morgan Stanley Keeps Their Buy Rating on Alaska Air (ALK)In a report released today, Ravi Shanker from Morgan Stanley maintained a Buy rating on Alaska Air, with a price target of $78.00. Shanker covers the Industrials sector, focusing on stocks such as Alaska Air, CSX, and Knight…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions