PolymarketWorld › Middle EastCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $3.1K today · $7.3K traded · $2.8K at stake · prices read 6 days ago
The odds
96%October 22
October 2296%▲ 11
October 3198%▲ 8
How the odds have moved
October 22: 87% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
October 22
96%
▲ 11
92¢
100¢
$5.2K
October 31
98%
▲ 8
95¢
100¢
$2.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Dozens killed across Iraq after torching of Iranian consulate in NajafMiddle East Eye · 2 h agoAt least 45 people have been shot dead by security forces across Iraq over the past 24 hours, after protesters torched the Iranian consulate in the southern city of Najaf. At least 29 people died in the southern city of Nasiriyah when…
The Challenge of Sovereignty: The PMF and Iranian Entrenchment in IraqThe Washington Institute · 8 h agoAs tensions con The Challenge of Sovereignty: The PMF and Iranian Entrenchment in Iraq As tensions continue to escalate between the United States and Iran, Iraq finds itself struggling to maintain a balancing act. In an attempt to curb…
BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikesFox News · 3 h agoIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as elections loom. BREAKING: Israel weighs NEW Iran strikes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly weighing renewed Iran strikes as…
Tehran strikes Iranian Kurdish base in Iraq with drones, Iranian media saysMiddle East Eye · 19 h agoIran's armed forces attacked bases belonging to an Iranian Kurdish opposition group in Iraq's Kurdistan region using drones, a media outlet in Tehran reported on Sunday. "As part of a drone operation ... Tehran strikes Iranian Kurdish base…
Netanyahu denies clash with IDF chief over Iran as mystery Iraq strikes raise tensionsynetglobal · 10 h agoChannel 12 reports Eyal Zamir demanded signed authorization for an operation that could trigger fighting with Iran before Israel's election; Netanyahu denies any confrontation, while Iraqi sources suspect Israel struck air-defense systems…
Iraq PM orders probe into threats after border crossing with Iran closedThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 3 h agoIraqi Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi ordered an investigation into the Maysan Provincial Council on Monday after its chairman, Mustafa Da’ir, threatened “civil disobedience” if Baghdad kept the al-Shib border crossing with Iran closed…
Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned attacks on AmericansFox News · 4 h agoFormer Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reacts to a memo about potential Iranian attacks on Americans, the reported threats to U.S. interests abroad and the American military presence in the region. Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned…
IRAN TRADE CRUNCH: Iraq And Pakistan Close Key Border Crossings@YWN · 20 h agoIraq and Pakistan closed several major land crossings with Iran this week, adding to the pressure on the country’s economy amid U.S. sanctions and a naval blockade. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said earlier this month that the United…
Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's strategy on IranFox News · 7 h agoNational security policy analyst Andrew Harding joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss massive protests sweeping across Europe and Trump weighing his next steps regarding the Iran deal. Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's…
A Netanyahu defeat would make Iran war harder for the U.S.CNBC · 10 h agoDania Arayssi, Senior Analyst at New Lines Institute explains how a Netanyahu election loss could significantly complicate a U.S. intervention in Iran, as Washington relies heavily on Israeli intelligence and partnership to avoid entering…
Pope's visit to Iraq will send message of coexistence, says Iraqi presidentMiddle East Eye · 2 h agoIraqi President Barham Salih has hailed the upcoming visit by Pope Francis to the country, which he said will send a message of peaceful coexistence to "bigots" and "extremists". Speaking virtually at a Brookings Institution conference on…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
