Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $10 today · $14.3K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 35 min ago

The odds

22%With Tapes and Toasts in the Car

With Tapes and Toasts in the Car22%▼ 2
God is Shy14%▲ 2
What We Leave Behind13%▲ 2
Paper Trail9%▼ 2
Dog Alone6%
Because Today is Saturday5%
El Cuerpo de Cristo4%
Water Girl3%
Dollhouse Elephant3%
Saba1%
Please<1%

How the odds have moved

With Tapes and Toasts in the Car: 14% on Oct 20, 22% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 21, 7 PM ETWith Tapes and Toasts in the…: 6% → 11%
- Hiam Abbass To Receive Honorary European Film Academy AwardIMDb · 6 days ago
- Oscar Nuñez and Otmara Marrero To Lead 'In An Orderly Fashion' FilmDeadline · 6 days ago
- Screen Brasil Backs International Distribution of Oscar Hopeful ‘Gugu’s World’ and Gramado Winner ‘Our Secret’ (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 6 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car	22%	▼ 2	21¢	24¢	$4.26	$5.1K
God is Shy	14%	▲ 2	13¢	15¢	$6.58	$160
What We Leave Behind	13%	▲ 2	0¢	25¢	$4.05	$145
Paper Trail	9%	▼ 2	1¢	18¢	$5.68	$2.6K
Dog Alone	6%		0¢	12¢	$8.33	$469
Because Today is Saturday	5%		0¢	9¢	$11.24	$95
El Cuerpo de Cristo	4%		1¢	8¢	$12.82	$100
Water Girl	3%		0¢	6¢	$15.87	$134
Dollhouse Elephant	3%		0¢	6¢	$16.67	$820
Saba	1%		0¢	1¢		$2.1K
Please	<1%		0¢	1¢		$2.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Animated Short Film

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John Anderson Dies At 71: Five Songs That Explore Life, Mortality, And What We Leave BehindJubileeCast · 5 days ago"Years" - Making Peace With Passing Time The title track of Anderson's 2020 album addresses aging through acceptance rather than panic. Its narrator recognizes that time cannot be recovered by endlessly mourning its disappearance. Looking…
Neon joins the Guardian, MK2 on Academy Award-winning directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor’s NAZAthe Guardian · 5 days agoDocumentary, produced by James Wilson and executive-produced by Jonathan Glazer, premiered in Venice and won the special jury prize The Guardian’s head of investigations, Paul Lewis, and global head of multimedia, Nicole Jackson, said…
Todd Haynes’ ‘De Noche’ Mexican Co-Producer Península Boards Pimienta Films’ Stop-Motion ‘Insectario’ by Sofia Carrillo (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 6 days agoMexican production company Península Films & Entertainment has boarded “Insectario,” the debut feature of stop-motion animation wunderkind Sofía Carrillo (“Cerulia”). Eduardo Díaz Casanova of Península and Nicolás Celis of Pimienta Films…
Clayface Just Broke a Comic Book Movie Record & Beat An Academy Award WinnerComicBook.com · 5 days ago(Sr. Writer/Editor) Kofi Outlaw has a B.A. in writing and film studies. He then earned a Master’s Degree in creative writing from The New School in NYC, where he became editor of Screenrant.com when it was just a hobby blog. Kofi…
Medical Academy Awards N10m Gold Medal to Cardiologist Ogah, inducts 13 fellowsChampion of the Truth. · 5 days agoThe Academy of Medical Sciences of Nigeria has announced a N10 million Gold Medal Award for Professor Okechukwu Samuel Ogah, a cardiologist recognised for his contributions to cardiovascular research, medical education and healthcare in…
Hiam Abbass To Receive Honorary European Film Academy AwardIMDb · 6 days agoIMDb
FULL LIST: Nominees for 2026 Africa Movie Academy AwardsNollywood Life · 7 days agoHome » FULL LIST: Nominees for 2026 Africa Movie Academy Awards The nominations for the 22nd edition of the Africa Movie Academy Awards were announced on Saturday, October 17, 2026, during a livestream on the awards’ official YouTube…
W&M film studies alumnus wins Student Academy AwardW&M Alumni Magazine · 8 days agoOctober 19, 2026 By Rebecca Ries '27 The following story originally appeared on the website for W&M’s College of Arts & Sciences. As Arjun Fischer ’20 was waiting on the tarmac in Virginia to fly back to Los Angeles, where he currently…
Screen Brasil Backs International Distribution of Oscar Hopeful ‘Gugu’s World’ and Gramado Winner ‘Our Secret’ (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 6 days agoThe Embratur and Projeto Paradiso initiative awards $15,000 per film to support theatrical releases in Spain, the U.S. and Canada, with a new funding round set for 2027 Screen Brasil, the leading initiative from Embratur and Projeto…
Is ‘Redacted’ Eligible For An Academy Award For Their Surprise Role In ‘You Can See Everything’?BroBible · 8 days agoTaylor Hill/FilmMagic | A24 A surprise performance in 'You Can See Everything' is earning Oscar shouts A surprise performance in the back half of Nathan Fielder’s splashy Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything is being hailed…
'You Can 'You Can See Everything' Oscar Chances Are Real Everything' Oscar Chances On The RiseDeadline · 8 days agoSPOILER ALERT: The following article contains details about storylines and characters/actors in A24‘s documentary You Can See Everything. Ever since its super-secret onetime screening at the Telluride Film Festival over Labor Day weekend…
Oscar-winning ‘Dracula’ makeup artist recalls sky highs and bloody lows of Gary Oldman’s vampireGold Derby · 5 days agoOne of the earliest lessons drilled into Academy Award winner Matthew W. Mungle when he was becoming a professional makeup artist in Hollywood — long before Edward Scissorhands, 25th Hour, or Collateral — was to work fast. "Go in, do your…

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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

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Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey

The Odyssey98%
The Black Ball95%▼ 1
Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 1

50 more

Dune: Part Three85%▲ 3
You Can See Everything83%▲ 3
The Debut74%▲ 1
Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
The Invite64%▲ 2
I Play Rocky59%▲ 1
Artificial54%▼ 1
All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
Fjord35%▲ 1
Obsession32%▼ 2
Elsinore32%▲ 2
Wildwood29%▲ 1
Digger24%▲ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
Club Kid19%▼ 4
Being Heumann19%▲ 2
Possible Love17%
Behemoth14%
Michael11%▼ 1
Primetime10%▼ 1
Josephine9%▲ 2
Ink8%
Sense and Sensibility6%
Saturn Return6%▲ 1
Misty Green4%▲ 1
The Drama4%
1949 / Fatherland4%
Paper Tiger4%
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother4%▼ 2
Minotaur4%
The Whisper Man4%
Clarissa4%
Disclosure Day3%
Werwulf3%
Parallel Tales3%
Rose3%
The Uprising3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
The Death of Robin Hood3%
Backrooms3%
The Entertainment System Is Down2%
Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
Hope2%
I Love Boosters2%
Jack of Spades2%
Tony2%
Bucking Fastard2%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
The Social Reckoning1%

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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

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Paul Giamatti92%
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Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6

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Guitarricadelafuente64%▼ 9
John Leguizamo60%▼ 9
Edward Norton51%▼ 6
Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
Colman Domingo19%▼ 6
Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
Steve Buscemi18%
John Goodman13%▲ 1
Skyler Gisondo9%
Miles Teller7%
James Ortiz7%
Antonio Banderas6%
Guy Pearce5%▼ 5
Adam Scott5%
Channing Tatum5%
Jeremy Strong5%▼ 10
Himesh Patel4%▼ 1
Michael Fassbender4%
Charles Melton4%▲ 1
Daniel Craig4%
Tom Holland4%
Jesse Plemons3%
Robert De Niro3%

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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

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John Malkovich87%▲ 1
Andrew Scott85%▼ 1

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Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 1
John Turturro46%▼ 3
Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
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Sebastian Stan18%
Jaafar Jackson18%
Pedro Pascal16%
Timothée Chalamet13%▲ 3
Sam Rockwell6%
Adam Driver5%
Josh O'Connor5%
Javier Bardem4%
Brad Pitt4%
Robert Aramayo3%
Jeremy Strong2%

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Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

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The Odyssey86%▲ 1
Digger70%▲ 8

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Project Hail Mary68%▲ 5
Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
Sense and Sensibility52%▲ 21
Werwulf47%▲ 2
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth42%▲ 22
Wuthering Heights20%
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Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

96%Project Hail Mary

Project Hail Mary96%▼ 2
Dune: Part Three88%▲ 18
The Odyssey86%▲ 8

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Werwulf51%▲ 10
The Black Ball47%▼ 10
Whalefall34%
The Mosquito Bowl33%▼ 2
Behemoth!33%▲ 4
Disclosure Day28%▲ 13
Godzilla Minus Zero25%▲ 2
The End of Oak Street24%▲ 14
Michael23%▼ 2
Digger12%▲ 5
The Debut7%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 14, 2027 7:59 PM ET

Traded$14.3K

Today$10

This week$5.4K

At stake$1.1K

In the news16 headlines today, 274 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions