The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
October 31
4%
2¢
6¢
$16.67
$5.5K
December 31
22%
▲ 1
21¢
23¢
$4.35
$4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Pope Calls for Yemen Peace, Prays for Jordan Attack Victims After SurgeryNewsweek · 24 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 01:09 PM EDT Pope Leo XIV on Sunday appealed for an end to hostilities in Yemen and prayed for the victims of an attack on Orthodox Christians in Jordan, as the pontiff gradually resumes his public duties following lung…
Syrians Detained Amid Israeli Incursions in SyriaMirage News · 32 h agoWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Volker Türk, is concerned by the…
Drinking water supplies dwindle in Yemeni city besieged by Houthi rebelsNPR · 3 days agoDrinking water has been scarce for over a decade in Taiz, but the problem has reached crisis levels in recent weeks as Iran-backed Houthi rebels besiege Yemen's third-largest city in their escalating conflict with government forces. The…
A sweet breakfast of mamounieh in Syria invites stories from fellow dinersNPR · 3 days agoMamounieh is a sweet, smooth pudding made of fine semolina wheat. Emily Feng/NPR hide caption In the ancient city of Aleppo, in northern Syria, a sticky, semolina pudding is a beloved dish that people eat to begin the day: mamounieh. The…
‘New ceasefire agreed’ after clashes in SyriaThe Irish News · 2 h agoSyrian government officials and leaders of the Druze religious minority have announced a renewed ceasefire after days of clashes that have threatened to unravel the country’s post-war political transition. It was not immediately clear if…
Reporters on the Job: From Canada to SyriaThe Christian Science Monitor · 12 h agoEvery week, a selection of Monitor staffers and contributors share their challenges and insights from reporting around the globe. Damascus, Syria – Taylor LuckIn my 20 years reporting in the Middle East, I have attended many wedding…
BBC Audio | Outside Source | Yemen's humanitarian crisis deepeningBBC News · 3 days agoAccording to the UN, more than 250,000 people have been forced to flee their homes ... Yemen's humanitarian crisis deepening Available for 29 days The UN says civilians in Yemen’s third largest city, Taiz, are “at grave risk” because of a…
How Israel’s elections could bring thaw with Syria@AlMonitor · 14 h agoThe next Israeli government could have an opportunity to secure several diplomatic wins involving the United States and Iran by improving relations with Syria. How Israel’s elections could bring thaw with Syria The next Israeli government…
Kartik Aaryan’s ‘Captain India’ Set Amid Houthi Conflict in Yemen (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 3 days agoKartik Aaryan’s upcoming action drama “Captain India” is set amid the Houthi conflict in Yemen, Variety understands. The film marks Aaryan’s first turn as a pilot. Shimit Amin directs the project, which is based on a real humanitarian…
Could Syria help Saudi Arabia fight the Houthis without troops?The New Arab · 9 h agoGaza ceasefire has not stopped Israel from committing genocide Israel puts Palestinian prisoners in solitary for making a cake Jordan unites as victims' families recount Karak church massacre Could Syria help Saudi Arabia fight the Houthis…
Israeli incursions into Syria fuel political debate ahead of electionsSyrian Arab News Agency (SANA) · 10 h agoDamascus, Oct. 26 (SANA) Israeli occupation forces’ continued incursions into Syrian territory have become part of a growing political dispute in Israel ahead of elections scheduled for October 27, with opposition leaders accusing Prime…
Former SAS commander investigated over Syria mission deathsHereford Times · 9 h agoThe former head of 22nd Special Air Service Regiment (22 SAS) was placed under criminal investigation after five of his soldiers were accused of murder during a mission in Syria, it has been revealed. The commander of the 22nd Special Air…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
