OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
42%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 202613%▼ 2
- December 31, 202742%▼ 14
Install
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
The odds
700.00Tmedian
525.00T775.00T
Median 700.00TMiddle half 687.46T – 712.54T
How the odds have moved
Median: 663.54T on Oct 20, 700.00T now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <575T | <1% | 0¢ | $2.7K | |||
| 575-625T | <1% | 0¢ | $3K | |||
| 625-675T | <1% | 0¢ | $6K | |||
| 675-725T | >99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | $19K | ||
| 725T+ | <1% | 0¢ | $6.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OpenRouter AI
Search ›-
Stripe will pay 7.5 billion dollars for the AI router OpenRouterYour business deserves an address The Metropolix, from Startup Fortune: your own building and public page on the map, plus a Startup Fortune feature with annual plans. From $9 a month. A Startup Fortune initiative You are invited to be on…
Related markets
All ai ›Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.24Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.24T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
85%Google
- Google85%
- Anthropic9%▼ 4
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
57%Anthropic
- Anthropic57%▲ 4
- Google33%▲ 2
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- xAI1%
- Meta1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 15, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3136%▼ 6
- December 3196%▲ 1
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
63%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3163%▲ 5
- October 2717%▼ 4
- October 296%▼ 4
11 more
- October 284%
- October 303%▼ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 311%
- October 26<1%▼ 4
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions