Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Dec 31 · $42.2K today · $534K traded · $55.3K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

24%December 31
  • October 314%▲ 1
  • December 3124%▲ 3

How the odds have moved

October 31: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
September 23 <1% 0¢ $5.8K
September 30 <1% 0¢ $18.7K
October 31 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $20.83 $257K
December 31 24% ▲ 3 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 $252K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Saudi-Houthi

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  • Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
  • Gideon Sa’ar<1%
  • Yariv Levin<1%
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  • Yoaz Hendel<1%
  • Nir Barkat<1%
  • Gilad Erdan<1%
  • Ofer Winter<1%
PolymarketCloses tomorrow 11:59 PM ET · $3M today

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions