Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $12K traded · $11K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

15%December 31, 2026

October 31, 20265%
December 31, 202615%

How the odds have moved

October 31, 2026: 3% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
September 30, 2026	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$7.7K
October 10, 2026	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$36.8K
October 17, 2026	<1%			0¢		$21.9K
October 31, 2026	5%		4¢	6¢	$17.24	$25.8K
December 31, 2026	15%		14¢	16¢	$6.25	$27.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Saudi, Yemen

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More fighting between Yemen's Houthis, Saudi Arabiadw.com · 37 h agoSaudi Arabia and Yemen's Houthis traded fresh attacks over the weekend, with reported deadly airstrikes in Sanaa and intercepted Houthi ballistic missiles targeting the kingdom. Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Houthis traded fresh attacks over…
Saudi strikes martyr 193 in Yemen, wound 468Mehr News Agency · 43 h agoTEHRAN, Oct. 25 (MNA) â Saudi attacks on Yemen since the escalation began have martyred 193 people and wounded 468, including 62 children martyred and 122 wounded, Yemen's health ministry spokesman said. Saudi strikes martyr 193 in…
Saudi-led coalition destroys Houthi missile-storage tunnels in Yemen operation@ChinaDailyApp · 17 h agoRIYADH - The Saudi-led coalition said on Monday that it has carried out a "qualitative military operation" targeting Houthi threats in Yemen, in response to repeated attacks on Saudi Arabia. In a post on the social platform X, Coalition…
Saudi Arabia, Yemen's Houthis continue to trade attacksYahoo News · 43 h agoSaudi Arabia and Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels continued to trade attacks over the weekend, with Saudi civil defence authorities issuing nearly a dozen warnings, including in Riyadh, Jeddah and several southern provinces near the…
Mutual attacks continue in Saudi Arabia and YemenYahoo News · 43 h agoSaudi Arabia and Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels continued to trade attacks over the weekend, with Saudi civil defence authorities issuing nearly a dozen warnings, including in Riyadh, Jeddah and several southern provinces near the…
Yemen's Houthis say they will keep attacking Saudi Arabia's King Khalid airportFXStreet · 23 h agoYemen's Houthis said on Sunday that they will keep attacking Saudi Arabia's King Khalid Airport in Riyadh, Reuters reported. This move came hours after the kingdom announced that flights had resumed despite repeated attacks by Houthis…
Pope Calls for Yemen Peace, Prays for Jordan Attack Victims After SurgeryNewsweek · 26 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 01:09 PM EDT Pope Leo XIV on Sunday appealed for an end to hostilities in Yemen and prayed for the victims of an attack on Orthodox Christians in Jordan, as the pontiff gradually resumes his public duties following lung…
Yemen Conflict Escalates: Houthis, Saudi-led Coalition Exchange Heavy StrikesLOKMAT · 36 h agoLokmat Times The conflict in Yemen has intensified significantly, with Houthi rebels and the Saudi-led coalition launching heavy attacks against each other Houthi forces claim to have executed widespread missile and drone strikes targeting…
Saudi Arabia intercepts Houthi missiles, drones as Yemen fighting continuesIran International · 35 h agoSaudi Arabia intercepted drones and missiles over Riyadh and southern parts of the country on Sunday as fighting with Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis continued, the Saudi-led coalition said. The coalition said two drones and a ballistic…
Yemen's Houthis say they attacked Saudi oil facilities, airportsMiddle East Eye · 46 h agoMiddle East Eye Yemen's Houthis say they attacked Saudi oil facilities, airports Yemen's Houthi group said it launched attacks at Saudi oil facilities and airports on Saturday including a Saudi Aramco facility in Yanbu, the Rabigh oil…
Saudi-led coalition says destroyed 2 ballistic missile launch platforms in Yemen's SanaaKhaleej Times · 19 h agoSun, Oct 25, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 14, 1448 | Fajr 5:05 AM|DXB 28°C Early on Monday, Yemen's Houthis claimed they targeted the King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, according to Reuters, although there was no immediate Saudi…
The Iran War Has Dragged Saudi Arabia Back Into Its Yemen NightmareForbes · 32 h agoIn 2025 Saudi Arabia was having a good year. The Kingdom saw growth rates of 4.5% driven by both oil and non-oil sectors. Unemployment had reached record low numbers, with more women entering the work force. Tourism was also booming, with…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$12K

This week$58

At stake$11K

In the news266 headlines today, 3,205 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing tr

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions