Scottish independence referendum called? (Before 2030)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jan 1, 2030 · $247 traded · $79 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

26%Before 2030
  • Before 203026%
  • Before 202911%
  • Before 20287%
  • Before 20271%

How the odds have moved

Before 2030: 26% on Oct 19, 26% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before 2030 26% 22¢ 29¢ $3.45
Before 2029 11% 7¢ 14¢ $7.14
Before 2028 7% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00
Before 2027 1% 0¢ 2¢ $58.82 24.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Scottish

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.