What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?
1%Iran (5+ times)
- Iran (5+ times)1%▼ 64
- Veteran1%▼ 55
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▼ 47
1 more
- Fraud (3+ times)1%▼ 11
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What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Settled Flood / Flooding, Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Diesel
The last odds before it closed
—
- ✓ Flood / Flooding99%
- ✓ Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
- ✓ Diesel99%
- ✓ Trump (5+ times)99%
- ✓ Midterm99%
- ✓ Russia / Ukraine99%
- ✓ Jalen Hurts99%
- ✓ France / French99%
- ✓ Nor'easter99%
- ✓ Putin99%
- Iran / Iranian1%
- Strait Of Hormuz1%
4 more
- Zacharia1%
- Tesla / SpaceX1%
- Supreme Court1%
- Alberta1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Flood / Flooding | 99% | 3.2K | ||||
| ✓ Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99% | 6.3K | ||||
| ✓ Diesel | 99% | 3.8K | ||||
| ✓ Trump (5+ times) | 99% | 3.4K | ||||
| ✓ Midterm | 99% | 6.6K | ||||
| ✓ Russia / Ukraine | 99% | 1.7K | ||||
| ✓ Jalen Hurts | 99% | 13.4K | ||||
| ✓ France / French | 99% | 6.2K | ||||
| ✓ Nor'easter | 99% | 5.1K | ||||
| ✓ Putin | 99% | 4.6K | ||||
| ✗ Iran / Iranian | 1% | 12.3K | ||||
| ✗ Strait Of Hormuz | 1% | 5.6K | ||||
| ✗ Zacharia | 1% | 2.8K | ||||
| ✗ Tesla / SpaceX | 1% | 21.9K | ||||
| ✗ Supreme Court | 1% | 6.4K | ||||
| ✗ Alberta | 1% | 11.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ABC World News
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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98%Transgender
- Transgender98%▲ 1
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- Healthcare97%▲ 8
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- Hottest96%▲ 3
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- Estate Tax / Death Tax80%▲ 8
- Farm / Farmer73%▼ 10
- Nuclear (3+ times)72%▲ 3
- Small Business70%▲ 15
- Lumbee68%▲ 1
- Kamala66%▼ 1
- Iran (5+ times)61%▼ 10
- Made in America / American Made60%
- FEMA45%▼ 5
- Gulf of America42%▲ 1
- Veteran41%▼ 11
- Hormuz41%▼ 3
- Power Plant37%▼ 1
- Deport / Deported / Deportation31%▲ 11
- AI / Artificial Intelligence28%▼ 3
- Electricity28%▼ 14
- Social Security (5+ times)26%▼ 20
- Windmill25%▲ 4
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- Data Center13%▼ 3
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What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)
100%Barack Hussein Obama
- Barack Hussein Obama100%
- Sleepy Joe100%
- Dividend / Stimulus100%
33 more
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing100%
- Moon100%
- Ilhan / Omar100%
- Diesel100%
- Soleimani100%
- Blockade85%
- Rigged Election / Stolen Election79%
- Ethanol76%
- Houthi75%
- Bibi / Netanyahu74%
- Vivek / Ramaswamy71%
- Autopen / Auto Pen69%
- Ceasefire62%
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome56%
- Cuba / Cuban51%
- Stupid Question39%
- Nobel31%
- Tomahawk28%
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- Uranium19%
- Zacharia18%
- Antifa18%
- Cybersecurity / Cyber Security16%
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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso?
1%Social Security
- Social Security1%▼ 73
- Abbott1%▼ 21
- Immigrant / Immigration1%▼ 40
2 more
- Data Center1%▼ 54
- Border1%▼ 29
What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?
91%Event does not qualify
- Event does not qualify91%▲ 89
- Billionaire (5+ times)7%▼ 83
- Iran / Iranian6%▼ 80
22 more
- Israel / Netanyahu6%▼ 74
- Social Security6%▼ 75
- Immigrant / Immigration6%▼ 26
- Bernie6%▼ 55
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline5%▼ 83
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics5%▼ 55
- China / Chinese5%▼ 38
- Elon / Musk5%▼ 91
- Working Class5%▼ 89
- Tax Break5%▼ 86
- AI / Artificial Intelligence5%▼ 89
- Corrupt / Corruption5%▼ 80
- Midterm5%▼ 78
- Climate5%▼ 81
- Socialist / Socialism5%▼ 24
- Data Center5%▼ 52
- Trump (5+ times)4%▼ 84
- Farm / Farmer4%▼ 13
- Zohran / Mamdani2%▼ 6
- Zillion / Zillionaire2%▼ 20
- Trillionaire2%▼ 4
- ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 4
What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston?
93%Elon / Musk
- Elon / Musk93%▼ 1
- AI / Artificial Intelligence91%▲ 2
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24 more
- Tax Break88%▼ 1
- Billionaire (5+ times)85%▲ 3
- Iran / Iranian85%▲ 9
- Housing / Rent84%▼ 1
- Trump (5+ times)82%▼ 6
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline80%▼ 6
- Corrupt / Corruption79%▲ 2
- Israel / Netanyahu79%▼ 3
- Midterm65%▼ 3
- Climate55%▼ 27
- Social Security53%▼ 27
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics46%▼ 23
- Data Center43%▼ 25
- China / Chinese37%▲ 3
- Bernie28%▼ 31
- Zillion / Zillionaire27%▲ 5
- Trillionaire25%▲ 3
- Immigrant / Immigration22%▼ 5
- Socialist / Socialism19%▼ 14
- Student Loan / Student Debt18%▼ 2
- Abbott14%▼ 4
- Zohran / Mamdani10%▼ 12
- ChatGPT / OpenAI7%
- Event does not qualify4%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.