SettledBillionaire (5+ times), Elon / Musk, Working Class
The last odds before it closed
—
✓ Billionaire (5+ times)99%▲ 14
✓ Elon / Musk99%▲ 5
✓ Working Class99%▲ 8
✓ Trump (5+ times)99%▲ 21
✓ Tax Break99%▲ 14
✓ AI / Artificial Intelligence99%▲ 7
✓ Iran / Iranian99%▲ 14
✓ Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%▲ 11
✓ Corrupt / Corruption99%▲ 17
✓ Midterm99%▲ 54
✓ Israel / Netanyahu99%▲ 23
✓ Bernie99%▲ 42
13 more
✓ Trillionaire99%▲ 80
Robot / Robotic / Robotics1%▼ 64
Zohran / Mamdani1%▼ 10
Social Security1%▼ 73
Abbott1%▼ 20
Climate1%▼ 79
Immigrant / Immigration1%▼ 54
Socialist / Socialism1%▼ 31
Data Center1%▼ 56
Border1%▼ 32
China / Chinese1%▼ 38
ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 9
Event does not qualify1%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Billionaire (5+ times)
99%
2.3K
✓ Elon / Musk
99%
1.9K
✓ Working Class
99%
1.9K
✓ Trump (5+ times)
99%
1.5K
✓ Tax Break
99%
1.0K
✓ AI / Artificial Intelligence
99%
1.3K
✓ Iran / Iranian
99%
908
✓ Oil / Gas / Gasoline
99%
932
✓ Corrupt / Corruption
99%
756
✓ Midterm
99%
4.7K
✓ Israel / Netanyahu
99%
1.7K
✓ Bernie
99%
1.7K
✓ Trillionaire
99%
4.4K
✗ Robot / Robotic / Robotics
1%
1.8K
✗ Zohran / Mamdani
1%
2.4K
✗ Social Security
1%
8.2K
✗ Abbott
1%
12.0K
✗ Climate
1%
828
✗ Immigrant / Immigration
1%
14.6K
✗ Socialist / Socialism
1%
973
✗ Data Center
1%
18.4K
✗ Border
1%
15.3K
✗ China / Chinese
1%
1.7K
✗ ChatGPT / OpenAI
1%
2.5K
✗ Event does not qualify
1%
1.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: El Paso, Bernie Sanders, Fighting Oligarchy
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions