What will Bernie say during his town hall in Michigan?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 9 · $8.7K today · $9.4K traded · $8.3K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

89%Corrupt / Corruption
  • Corrupt / Corruption89%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence89%
  • Trump (5+ times)88%▲ 50
  • Billionaire (5+ times)81%
  • Iran / Iranian81%
  • Midterm79%▲ 35
  • Israel / Netanyahu78%
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics77%
  • Housing / Rent73%
  • Data Center72%
  • Tuition (2+ times)67%
  • Minimum Wage66%
10 more
  • Climate65%
  • Student Loan / Student Debt55%
  • Immigrant / Immigration37%
  • China / Chinese31%
  • Socialist / Socialism31%
  • Zohran / Mamdani30%▼ 19
  • Social Security28%
  • Altman14%
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI12%
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Corrupt / Corruption 89% 77¢ 89¢ $1.12 218
AI / Artificial Intelligence 89% 85¢ 92¢ $1.09 585
Trump (5+ times) 88% ▲ 50 73¢ 84¢ $1.19 706
Billionaire (5+ times) 81% 77¢ 85¢ $1.18 677
Iran / Iranian 81% 76¢ 86¢ $1.16 439
Midterm 79% ▲ 35 70¢ 81¢ $1.23 807
Israel / Netanyahu 78% 74¢ 87¢ $1.15 834
Robot / Robotic / Robotics 77% 75¢ 86¢ $1.16 695
Housing / Rent 73% 69¢ 76¢ $1.32 514
Data Center 72% 63¢ 74¢ $1.35 1.4K
Tuition (2+ times) 67% 62¢ 72¢ $1.39 1.3K
Minimum Wage 66% 53¢ 66¢ $1.52 787
Climate 65% 64¢ 66¢ $1.52 186
Student Loan / Student Debt 55% 50¢ 60¢ $1.67 1.4K
Immigrant / Immigration 37% 32¢ 42¢ $2.38 910
China / Chinese 31% 29¢ 33¢ $3.03 255
Socialist / Socialism 31% 27¢ 34¢ $2.94 173
Zohran / Mamdani 30% ▼ 19 29¢ 31¢ $3.23 1.1K
Social Security 28% 26¢ 30¢ $3.33 761
Altman 14% 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 1.7K
ChatGPT / OpenAI 12% 10¢ 14¢ $7.14 3.3K
Event does not qualify 3% ▼ 3 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 373

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bernie Sanders, Ann Arbor, Bernie

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  • Health / Healthy100%▲ 20
  • OpenAI / ChatGPT100%▲ 55
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95%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating95%▲ 1
  • Save America Act94%▲ 2
  • Barack Hussein Obama87%▼ 2
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  • Sanctuary86%▲ 1
  • China / Chinese85%▼ 5
  • America First85%▼ 9
  • Sleepy Joe84%▼ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine83%▲ 10
  • France83%▲ 1
  • Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 2
  • Hormuz81%▲ 12
  • Tariff (3+ times)81%▼ 6
  • ICE77%▼ 8
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  • Made in America / American Made76%▲ 2
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  • Windmill23%▲ 5
  • Fraud (3+ times)23%▼ 2
  • Trump Account21%▼ 7
  • Fentanyl16%
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%
  • Ceasefire7%▼ 9
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  • Peace in the Middle East2%
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94%Save America Act
  • Save America Act94%▼ 1
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  • Barack Hussein Obama88%
32 more
  • Sanctuary84%▲ 1
  • Nuclear (3+ times)82%▼ 1
  • China / Chinese80%▲ 4
  • Iran (5+ times)80%▼ 1
  • Supreme Court79%▼ 2
  • ICE79%▲ 3
  • France79%▼ 1
  • Sleepy Joe78%▼ 1
  • Tariff (3+ times)78%▼ 11
  • Gulf of America78%▼ 3
  • Hormuz77%▲ 5
  • Made in America / American Made71%▲ 4
  • America First71%▼ 7
  • Drill Baby Drill70%▼ 1
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  • Data Center42%
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98%Democrat
  • Democrat98%▲ 5
  • Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime87%▲ 20
  • Border83%▼ 3
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  • Election81%▼ 7
  • Farm / Farmer70%▼ 16
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  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline65%▲ 34
  • Steel64%▲ 30
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions