What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closed Oct 20 · $24.4K today · $26.4K traded · $15.2K at stake

Settled Event does not qualifyA day before, traders gave it 90%.

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Event does not qualify80%▲ 80
  • Elon / Musk20%▼ 77
  • Corrupt / Corruption17%▼ 67
  • Israel / Netanyahu17%▼ 62
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI16%▲ 13
  • Billionaire (5+ times)15%▼ 74
  • Working Class15%▼ 80
  • Iran / Iranian15%▼ 71
  • Bernie15%▼ 36
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence14%▼ 81
  • Data Center13%▼ 49
  • Trump (5+ times)10%▼ 71
13 more
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline5%▼ 86
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics4%▼ 59
  • Social Security4%▼ 74
  • Tax Break3%▼ 90
  • Trillionaire3%▼ 10
  • Midterm2%▼ 59
  • Climate2%▼ 84
  • Immigrant / Immigration2%▼ 29
  • Zohran / Mamdani1%▼ 4
  • Zillion / Zillionaire1%▼ 21
  • Socialist / Socialism1%▼ 26
  • Farm / Farmer1%▼ 16
  • China / Chinese1%▼ 42

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Event does not qualify 80% 20.4K
✗ Elon / Musk 20% 11.8K
✗ Corrupt / Corruption 17% 7.1K
✗ Israel / Netanyahu 17% 2.2K
✗ ChatGPT / OpenAI 16% 6.4K
✗ Billionaire (5+ times) 15% 4.0K
✗ Working Class 15% 8.6K
✗ Iran / Iranian 15% 1.8K
✗ Bernie 15% 2.0K
✗ AI / Artificial Intelligence 14% 3.4K
✗ Data Center 13% 6.3K
✗ Trump (5+ times) 10% 4.6K
✗ Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5% 3.0K
✗ Robot / Robotic / Robotics 4% 2.6K
✗ Social Security 4% 1.2K
✗ Tax Break 3% 3.8K
✗ Trillionaire 3% 4.8K
✗ Midterm 2% 7.9K
✗ Climate 2% 3.0K
✗ Immigrant / Immigration 2% 2.2K
✗ Zohran / Mamdani 1% 2.8K
✗ Zillion / Zillionaire 1% 741
✗ Socialist / Socialism 1% 819
✗ Farm / Farmer 1% 779
✗ China / Chinese 1% 1.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bernie Sanders, Fighting Oligarchy, Get Out

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89%Corrupt / Corruption
  • Corrupt / Corruption89%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence89%
  • Trump (5+ times)88%▲ 50
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  • Billionaire (5+ times)81%
  • Iran / Iranian81%
  • Midterm79%▲ 35
  • Israel / Netanyahu78%
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics77%
  • Housing / Rent73%
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  • Tuition (2+ times)67%
  • Minimum Wage66%
  • Climate65%
  • Student Loan / Student Debt55%
  • Immigrant / Immigration37%
  • China / Chinese31%
  • Socialist / Socialism31%
  • Zohran / Mamdani30%▼ 19
  • Social Security28%
  • Altman14%
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI12%
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 3
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What will Trump say during his rally in Corinth, Mississippi?

98%Save America Act
  • Save America Act98%
  • China / Chinese91%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)91%
32 more
  • Tariff (3+ times)90%
  • Ilhan / Omar87%
  • America First86%
  • Iran (5+ times)84%
  • Hormuz84%
  • ICE72%
  • Russia / Ukraine72%
  • Gulf of America72%
  • Made in America / American Made71%
  • Kamala67%
  • Veteran66%
  • Supreme Court65%
  • Elon / Musk54%
  • Data Center36%
  • Blockade35%
  • Insurance31%
  • Fraud (3+ times)27%
  • Electricity27%
  • Israel / Israeli26%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence23%
  • Drill Baby Drill22%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation20%
  • Social Security (5+ times)19%
  • Trump Account15%
  • Fentanyl12%
  • Palestine / Palestinian12%
  • Windmill11%
  • Hegseth10%
  • Ceasefire5%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Peace in the Middle East1%
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What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?

100%Fusion Claw
  • Fusion Claw100%▲ 28
  • Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI100%▲ 28
  • Spectrum100%▲ 44
12 more
  • QSRP100%▲ 61
  • Health / Healthy100%▲ 20
  • OpenAI / ChatGPT100%▲ 55
  • Automation3%▼ 67
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 3
  • AI Agent Studio1%▼ 62
  • Multicloud / Multi-cloud1%▼ 46
  • NVIDIA1%▼ 40
  • Stargate1%▼ 6
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What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

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  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating95%▲ 1
  • Save America Act94%▲ 2
  • Barack Hussein Obama87%▼ 2
32 more
  • Sanctuary86%▲ 1
  • China / Chinese85%▼ 5
  • America First85%▼ 9
  • Sleepy Joe84%▼ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine83%▲ 10
  • France83%▲ 1
  • Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 2
  • Hormuz81%▲ 12
  • Tariff (3+ times)81%▼ 6
  • ICE77%▼ 8
  • Nuclear (3+ times)76%▼ 11
  • Made in America / American Made76%▲ 2
  • Supreme Court72%▼ 8
  • Drill Baby Drill69%▼ 1
  • Gulf of America66%▼ 3
  • Kamala62%▲ 7
  • Data Center55%▲ 3
  • Blockade43%▼ 13
  • Electricity38%▼ 14
  • Israel / Israeli36%▼ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence27%▼ 3
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation23%▼ 3
  • Windmill23%▲ 5
  • Fraud (3+ times)23%▼ 2
  • Trump Account21%▼ 7
  • Fentanyl16%
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%
  • Ceasefire7%▼ 9
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

94%Save America Act
  • Save America Act94%▼ 1
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating92%▲ 1
  • Barack Hussein Obama88%
32 more
  • Sanctuary84%▲ 1
  • Nuclear (3+ times)82%▼ 1
  • China / Chinese80%▲ 4
  • Iran (5+ times)80%▼ 1
  • Supreme Court79%▼ 2
  • ICE79%▲ 3
  • France79%▼ 1
  • Sleepy Joe78%▼ 1
  • Tariff (3+ times)78%▼ 11
  • Gulf of America78%▼ 3
  • Hormuz77%▲ 5
  • Made in America / American Made71%▲ 4
  • America First71%▼ 7
  • Drill Baby Drill70%▼ 1
  • Russia / Ukraine65%▼ 1
  • Kamala60%▼ 12
  • Blockade45%▲ 4
  • Data Center42%
  • Israel / Israeli34%▲ 1
  • Electricity27%▼ 3
  • Fraud (3+ times)25%▲ 1
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence23%▼ 4
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation22%▲ 4
  • Trump Account21%▼ 12
  • Fentanyl15%▲ 1
  • Windmill14%▲ 2
  • Social Security (5+ times)13%▼ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian6%▼ 5
  • Ceasefire4%▼ 2
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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