Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 83
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 83
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Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner? (October 27, 2026)
The odds
39%Chloe Foster
- Chloe Foster39%▲ 2
- Dillon Roberts28%▲ 1
- Leanne Raw14%
- Michael Johnstone14%
- Kevin Hyland3%▼ 1
- Mary Duniam2%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Chloe Foster: 43% on Oct 19, 39% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Foster | 39% | ▲ 2 | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 497 |
| Dillon Roberts | 28% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 367 |
| Leanne Raw | 14% | 10¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 407 | |
| Michael Johnstone | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 182 | |
| Kevin Hyland | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 20.00 | |
| Mary Duniam | 2% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Waratah-Wynyard, Chloe Foster, Dillon Roberts
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Fears hostile social media environment turning women, young people awayA hostile social media environment has raised concern that women and young people are being turned away from trying for local government office. There are concerns some people may not see the value in a civic role when it came at such a… -
She's backed by the last two mayors, but will rookie status hold her back?One mayoral candidate is a council newcomer backed by the last two mayors, another polled very well last time and has raised his profile since. Then there are two other well-known councillors who will have their share of backers when…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions