Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
31.91%median
26%38%
Median 31.91%Middle half 30.29% – 34%
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Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent
The odds
27.29%median
19%32%
Median 27.29%Middle half 25.46% – 28.85%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21% | 95% | ▲ 3 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 23% | 93% | ▲ 5 | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 24% | 91% | ▲ 6 | 88¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 9.9K |
| At least 25% | 82% | ▲ 6 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | |
| At least 26% | 68% | ▲ 5 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 30.00 |
| At least 27% | 55% | ▲ 4 | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | |
| At least 28% | 39% | ▲ 3 | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | |
| At least 29% | 23% | ▲ 2 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 30% | 12% | 9¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.7K | |
| At least 31% | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PSOE
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.