Spanish general election: Vox vote percent
18.7%median
12%23%
Median 18.7%Middle half 17% – 20.22%
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Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
The odds
31.91%median
26%38%
Median 31.91%Middle half 30.29% – 34%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 30% | 79% | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 31% | 65% | 61¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 1.00 | |
| At least 32% | 49% | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | ||
| At least 33% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 30¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 26.00 |
| At least 34% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 35% | 18% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| At least 36% | 6% | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.8K | |
| At least 37% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 4.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All around the world ›Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent
27.29%median
19%32%
Median 27.29%Middle half 25.46% – 28.85%
Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?
48%chance▼ 1
Brazil Presidential Election
76%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro76%▼ 3
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%▲ 3
Next French Presidential Election
46%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
- David Lisnard12%
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann5%
- François Hollande2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Bruno Retailleau1%
- Christine Lagarde1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
46%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%46%▲ 8
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%24%▼ 6
- Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 1
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%7%▼ 2
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.