Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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New Mexico Senate election: Larry Marker vote percent
The odds
39.26%median
30%50%
Median 39.26%Middle half 36.69% – 41.79%
How the odds have moved
Median: 38.56% on Oct 19, 39.26% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 34% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 10.00 | |
| At least 36% | 81% | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 10.00 | |
| At least 38% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 415 | |
| At least 40% | 42% | 38¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 405 | |
| At least 42% | 23% | 19¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 20.00 | |
| At least 44% | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 5.00 | |
| At least 46% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 48% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico Senate, Larry Marker
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New Mexico state treasurer candidate questionnairesCity or area of primary residence: Cedar Crest Educational background: Bachelor of Arts in physics and political science, Clemson University; Master of Science in mechanical engineering and Master of Science in technology and policy… -
New Mexico's ruling party isn't quite as lazy as RepublicansThis will be another dominant year for Democrats in New Mexico. Too bad they were complacent enough yet again to offer a substandard candidate in bright-blue Santa Fe. Democrats could have upgraded their brand by fielding a primary… -
New Mexico U.S. Senate ForumKC Counts talks with incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Ray Luján and Republican challenger Larry Season 2026 Episode 8 | 27m 26sVideo has Closed Captions | CC KC Counts talks with incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Ray Luján and… -
2nd Life Media AlamogordoTownNews.org and KALHRadio.org Release Free Nonpartisan Otero County Voter Guide for the Nov. 3 ElectionThe guide is available now as a free pdf download at: “Every race. Every question. Both sides.” is the guide’s stated standard. The publishers do not endorse any candidate or ballot question in it. Candidate positions are drawn from the… -
New Mexico Will Spend $10 Million to Build Yet Another Abortion BusinessRepublican U.S. Senate candidate Larry Marker today called on state leaders to redirect the $10 million taxpayer appropriation set aside for a northern New Mexico abortion clinic toward restoring labor and delivery care in rural… -
President Trump reiterating New Mexico's name change to New AmericaRepublican candidates in the state are speaking out about it President Donald Trump suggested on Monday that New Mexico should change its name to "New America," sparking reactions from political candidates. "New Mexico should immediately… -
Election 2026: Ben Ray Luján seeks reelection to the U.S. SenateKUNM:You've been in the Senate now since 2021. You are now asking New Mexicans for another term. What do you believe another six years is going to bring? What do you want to accomplish that you haven't accomplished yet? KUNM: You know, you… -
President Trump calls for renaming New Mexico to ‘New America’(KVIA) -- Monday, President Donald Trump said the state of New Mexico should "immediately change its name to New America." "We are not Mexico, we are the United States of America! The name would add great value and prestige to the State,"… -
NBC Poll shows President Trump’s approval rating at 34% with the economy on the top of voters’ mindsALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – An NBC News poll shows the economy leads voter concerns as midterms near, while President Trump’s approval and views of both parties remain weak. NBC News surveyed more than 19,000 adults between Sept. 28 and Oct. 12… -
Brandt named vice chair of National Energy Security Advisory BoardDestinction result of Brandt's efforts to advocate during Israel conflicts, according to release RIO RANCHO — New Mexico District 40 Sen. Craig Brandt (R) was announced Council for a Secure America’s newly established State Legislative… -
Republican Larry Marker 1-on-1 on his bid to represent New Mexico in the US SenateKOB 4 ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — Republican U.S. Senate candidate Larry Marker joined KOB for a conversation on his bid to represent New Mexico in Washington. Marker expressed his desire to see the US curb its federal spending, he also shared his… -
Democratic presidential hopefuls to attend New Mexico matanza as state's 2028 appeal growsU.S. Sen. Ben Ray Luján hosting event that could be harbinger of more candidate visits to come SANTA FE — This year’s midterm election cycle isn’t over yet, but the jockeying for the 2028 presidential election has already begun. At least…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions