Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent
The odds
60.33%median
50%70%
Median 60.33%Middle half 57.67% – 62.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.3% on Oct 19, 60.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 96% | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 54% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 56% | 88% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| At least 58% | 73% | ▲ 1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| At least 60% | 54% | ▲ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 410 |
| At least 62% | 33% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 400 |
| At least 64% | 17% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 821 |
| At least 66% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 192 |
| At least 68% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico Senate, Ben Ray Luján
Search ›- The 2028 crop hits New Mexico for inaugural ‘Matanza’ rallyThe “Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally” is testing the appetite for a more Latino-specific cultural touchstone to round out the presidential candidate event rotation. 10/24/2026 11:19 AM EDT Prospective presidential candidates are known…
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The 2028 crop hits New MexicoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/24/2026 10:36 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun and Irie Sentner Good Saturday morning. This is Ali Bianco in the driver’s seat. Only 10 days left until the… -
Democratic presidential hopefuls pitch populist economics at New Mexico ‘matanza’U.S. Sen. Ben Ray Luján, left, speaks with U.S. Sen. Chris Van Hollen, right, and human rights activist Samia Assed, middle, during the Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally on Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026 at the Anderson Abruzzo Albuquerque… -
Election 2026: Ben Ray Luján seeks reelection to the U.S. SenateKUNM:You've been in the Senate now since 2021. You are now asking New Mexicans for another term. What do you believe another six years is going to bring? What do you want to accomplish that you haven't accomplished yet? KUNM: You know, you… -
Trump demands New Mexico be renamed 'immediately', triggering chaos for Google and AppleTime to switch back to MapQuest President Donald Trump sure loves a good renaming ceremony, but going far beyond rebranding Mount Denali as Mount McKinley, or calling Palm Beach International Airport the President Donald J. Trump… -
New Mexico's ruling party isn't quite as lazy as RepublicansThis will be another dominant year for Democrats in New Mexico. Too bad they were complacent enough yet again to offer a substandard candidate in bright-blue Santa Fe. Democrats could have upgraded their brand by fielding a primary… -
New Mexico U.S. Senate ForumKC Counts talks with incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Ray Luján and Republican challenger Larry Season 2026 Episode 8 | 27m 26sVideo has Closed Captions | CC KC Counts talks with incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Ray Luján and… -
CIA Spook Slotkin Doubles Down On Threat To Destroy Young Conservative StaffersSlotkin has a history of calling to jail her political enemies. Sen. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., a former CIA operative, doubled down on her threats to maliciously prosecute Republican staffers and scare young conservatives away from serving… -
Trump Wants New Mexico Renamed ‘New America’; Bernie Sanders Says Americans Paying $6.30 for Diesel Want Him to ‘Immediately’ End Iran WarPresident Donald Trump has called for New Mexico to be renamed "New America," prompting backlash from state Democrats and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). On Monday, in a Truth Social post, Trump called on New Mexico to change its name… -
New Mexico state treasurer candidate questionnairesCity or area of primary residence: Cedar Crest Educational background: Bachelor of Arts in physics and political science, Clemson University; Master of Science in mechanical engineering and Master of Science in technology and policy… -
New Mexico Republican Rejects Trump’s Push to Rename StateOct 19, 2026 at 10:54 PM EDT Gregg Hull, Republican candidate for governor in New Mexico, balked at President Donald Trump's push to rename the state as "New America." In a post to Truth Social earlier on Monday, the president said, "New… -
2nd Life Media AlamogordoTownNews.org and KALHRadio.org Release Free Nonpartisan Otero County Voter Guide for the Nov. 3 ElectionThe guide is available now as a free pdf download at: “Every race. Every question. Both sides.” is the guide’s stated standard. The publishers do not endorse any candidate or ballot question in it. Candidate positions are drawn from the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions