Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 13, 2027even chance by
- October 319%▼ 2
- November 3043%▼ 10
- December 3162%▼ 14
Install
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking? (Before Nov 11, 2026)
The odds
19%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 18% on Oct 19, 19% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
Search ›-
Trump discusses success of Trump Accounts and potential expansion to adultsFox Business Trump discusses success of Trump Accounts and potential expansion to adults FOX Business White House reporter Edward Lawrence asks President Donald Trump about whether the successful Trump Accounts for children could possibly… -
Trump launches women's health division within NIH alongside Melania TrumpCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump launches… -
When Trump says nothing at allYour guide to Donald Trump’s unprecedented overhaul of the federal government. By EVA HARTOG, BEN JOHANSEN and SOPHIA CAI 10/20/2026 04:54 PM EDT Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook: Remaking Government, your guide to Donald Trump’s… -
Russia accuses Ukraine of sabotaging Trump“Ukraine seriously complicated the work of Trump’s election campaign headquarters," said a top Russian official. | Getty A top Russian official is accusing the Ukrainian government of undermining Donald Trump’s presidential campaign by… -
President Trump continues midterm campaign pushCBS News President Trump continues midterm campaign push Henry Ford Genesys nurses approve contract Detroit Pistons season opener I-696 construction causing rat problems for Ferndale residents Inkster City Council tables data center… -
Trump touts $400 million investment in midterm electionsFox News Trump touts $400 million investment in midterm elections Fox News correspondent Lucas Tomlinson discusses President Donald Trump's midterm blitz and remarks about the Russia-Ukraine war on 'Special Report.' Fox News correspondent… -
Trump announces new incentive program for fraud tipstersFox News Trump announces new incentive program for fraud tipsters President Donald Trump announces a $25 million whistleblower program offering cash rewards for tips that lead to fraud convictions or major federal enforcement actions…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?
>99%Transgender 5+ times
- Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
- SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
- Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
- Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
- Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
- Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
- Ass1%▼ 64
- Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
- Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
- Animal1%▼ 62
- Drag Show1%▼ 64
- Maduro1%▼ 26
- Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
- Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
- Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
- Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
- America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
- Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
- Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
- AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
- Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
- -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3%chance
Next Press Secretary?
16%Anna Kelly
- Anna Kelly16%▲ 1
- Scott Jennings14%
- Maria Bartiromo7%▲ 2
28 more
- Elizabeth Pipko6%▼ 1
- Kari Lake5%▲ 1
- Beni Rae Harmony4%▲ 1
- Harrison Fields3%▼ 1
- Margo Martin3%▲ 1
- Alina Habba3%
- Steven Cheung3%
- Kayleigh McEnany3%
- Lauren Bis3%
- Natalie Harp3%
- Taylor Rogers3%
- Tricia McLaughlin2%
- Lara Trump2%
- Laura Loomer2%▲ 2
- Katie Pavlich2%
- Karoline Leavitt2%
- Katie Miller2%
- Liz Huston1%▲ 1
- Monica Crowley1%▲ 1
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Kush Desai1%
- Pat Adams1%
- Kaelan Dorr1%
- Ari Fleischer1%
- Spencer Pratt1%
- Matthew Boyle1%
- Jake Paul<1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?
38.63%median
38.55%39.25%
Median 38.63%Middle half 38.59% – 38.64%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.