Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? (Before Oct 26, 2026)
KalshiElectionsCloses Oct 26 · $120 today · $3K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 7 min ago
The odds
19%chance▼ 10
How the odds have moved
Yes: 26% on Oct 20, 19% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
19%
▼ 10
17¢
20¢
$5.00
16.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Supreme Court receives new probe into Flávio Bolsonarovalorinternational · 17 h agoOn October 10, after the first round of the presidential election, a court in Rio Grande do Sul authorized access to Tomaz’s confidential data. Emails uncovered in the investigation showed Flávio registered as the “master user” of a bank…
Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula Tied in Runoff PollPolitical Wire · 23 h ago“Right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are locked in a tie less than a week ahead of Brazil’s runoff election, according to a new poll,” Bloomberg reports. “Bolsonaro would take 50.3% to Lula’s 49.7%…
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Avoid Betting Ban During Presidential DebateiGamingToday.com - News · 12 h agoHousehold debt was part of the economic debate, but neither candidate offered any comment on the ban on betting, even though this was the government’s main reason for banning gambling. Lula also refrained from touching on a subject he does…
Lula da Silva Beats Flavio Bolsonaro in Debate Ahead of RunoffteleSURenglish · 23 h agoOctober 19, 2026 Hour: 8:29 am On Sunday, Brazilian President and re-election candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right opposition candidate Flavio Bolsonaro faced off for the first time in a presidential debate. Just one week…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.