Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
53%Google
- Google53%▼ 6
- Anthropic38%▲ 6
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- xAI1%
- Meta1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Install
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1 (Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026)
The odds
195.1median
177198
Median 195.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 185.4 on Oct 28, 195.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 180T tokens | 100% | ▲ 4 | 99¢ | 7.6K | ||
| Above 183T tokens | 99% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | $1.02 | 2.8K | |
| Above 185T tokens | 99% | ▲ 2 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.1K |
| Above 186T tokens | 97% | ▼ 2 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 417 |
| Above 187T tokens | 97% | 81¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 339 | |
| Above 188T tokens | 97% | 52¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 142 | |
| Above 189T tokens | 94% | ▲ 2 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 489 |
| Above 190T tokens | 90% | ▼ 7 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.2K |
| Above 192T tokens | 90% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 792 |
| Above 194T tokens | 70% | ▼ 11 | 38¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 1.1K |
| Above 196T tokens | 34% | ▼ 40 | 22¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 1.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OpenRouter
Search ›- OpenRouter vs LiteLLM vs Portkey vs Kong: LLM Gateways in 2026LLM Gateways in 2026: OpenRouter vs LiteLLM vs Portkey vs Kong for Production Traffic Most AI teams hit the same wall a few months after launch: the app works in the demo, but the API bill is unpredictable, one vendor outage takes the…
- Korean-Language AI Quality Leaderboard: 426 OpenRouter Models Benchmarked Across 7 Korean-Specific DimensionsGeniGen AI (지니젠AI), a Korean AI company, has released a publicly accessible Korean-language AI quality leaderboard hosted on Hugging Face. The dataset covers 426 models listed on OpenRouter — the multi-provider AI model routing platform…
- LLM Gateway Compared: LiteLLM vs Portkey vs OpenRouterThe first LLM feature in most codebases calls one provider SDK directly. That works until the second provider shows up. Maybe a cheaper model wins on a subtask, a region needs a different vendor, or an outage takes down the only model you…
- Access Multiple AI Models in Your Python Apps Using OpenRouterLearn how to get started with the OpenRouter API to call multiple AI models through one API, compare responses, switch models, and set up automatic fallbacks. OpenRouter removes that repetition. It sits in front of dozens of providers and…
- What if you could use Claude Code for FREE? 👀 I connected Claude Code OmniRoute free AI models from OpenRouter & NVIDIA. Here’s the full setup, trade-offs, and how it works 👇Thử setup này cách đây vài tuần với model Nemotron 3 Ultra qua OpenRouter — ổn cho các task refactor, sinh boilerplate, nhưng hit rate limit nhanh khi để chạy agent loop dài (khoảng 15-20 request/phút tùy tier free). Điểm痛 nhất: context…
- Anthropic token use on OpenRouter jumps about 3.5x as cheaper models landOpenRouter data shows Anthropic's average daily token volume climbing sharply after its 5.5 model series rolled out with lower-priced tiers Developers have found a new favorite way to spend their compute budgets. According to OpenRouter…
- OpenRouter's February 2026 Outages: How a Cold Cache Overwhelmed the DatabaseThe database was struggling. The API said the user didn't exist. That is the part of OpenRouter's February outages worth looking at closely. The reported failure involved cache connectivity and the database lookups behind API-key…
- LLM Gateways in 2026: OpenRouter vs LiteLLM vs Portkey vs Kong for Production TrafficPikVue - Smart Tech Tool Reviews No, not for prototyping. The moment you need scheduling, protection against a single-provider outage, or a real view of cost, the caching, routing, and observability that a gateway provides start paying for…
Related markets
All ai ›AI capability growth this year? (Before 2027)
1,557median
1,5001,800
Median 1,557
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.23Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.23T.
- Reaches $1.5T94%
- Reaches $1.75T85%
- Falls to $800B5%
- Falls to $700B3%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
99%Google
- Google99%▲ 1
- OpenAI<1%
- Meta<1%
18 more
- Anthropic<1%▼ 1
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Dec 3, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 311%▼ 2
- December 3193%▲ 1
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions