Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 82
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 83
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Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
80%Swedish Social Democratic Party
- Swedish Social Democratic Party80%▲ 1
- Green Party68%
- Centre Party55%▼ 1
- Left Party28%
- Moderate Party18%
- Liberals18%
- Christian Democrats17%
- Sweden Democrats4%
How the odds have moved
Swedish Social Democratic Party: 80% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party | 80% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 2.7K |
| Green Party | 68% | 64¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 2.9K | |
| Centre Party | 55% | ▼ 1 | 52¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 7.6K |
| Left Party | 28% | 24¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 5.8K | |
| Moderate Party | 18% | 15¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 3.4K | |
| Liberals | 18% | 14¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 8.4K | |
| Christian Democrats | 17% | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 4.1K | |
| Sweden Democrats | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sweden, Swedish Social Democratic Party, Green Party
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Green Party condemned as ‘racist’ by Board of Deputies over anti-Zionist policyDavid Hughes, Press Association Political Editor Zack Polanski’s Green Party has been labelled “racist” by the Board of Deputies of British Jews. The major Jewish organisation condemned the Green Party of England and Wales over the… -
Green Party Finally Wins OneApril 1, 1999 / 1:31 PM EST / AP Audie Elizabeth Bock decided to run for the California Assembly with the backing of the Green Party, going up against a well-known former Oakland mayor who outspent her 20-1. Bock, whose last bid for office… -
Board of Deputies formally declares Green Party has 'become a racist party' after its anti-Zionist policyBritain's largest Jewish group have formally declared Zack Polanski's Green Party 'racist' and accused the party of 'giving prejudice against Jews a political licence'. The Board of Deputies of British Jews condemned the party following… -
Fury as Green Party activist given 'free rein by BBC' to lambast Jewish womanTHE BBC is under fire for allowing a Green Party activist who was accused of legitimising the October 7 massacre 'free rein' to lambast a Jewish journalist on its flagship politics show. Ashok Kumar, a professor at Birkbeck, University of… - Board of Deputies of British Jews declares Green Party a 'racist party' | The Jerusalem PostThe Board of Deputies of British Jews has passed a motion declaring that the UK Green Party is a racist party. The resolution, adopted at the Board’s October Plenary Meeting, condemns the Green Party’s decision to adopt a policy branding…
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The Green party hasn’t lost its way, it’s just broadening its appealMarianne Gemmeke and John Ashby respond to criticism of the party and its leader, Zack Polanski The two eloquent letters on the super-rich (The problem with living in a rich man’s world, 14 October) explain perfectly why I, as a… -
Kootenay-Monashee: BC Green Party candidate Connie LarochellePublished 6:00 pm Thursday, October 22, 2026 As the BC election approaches, the Trail Times asked Kootenay-Monashee candidates a key question: What is the most important issue you want to impress upon your constituents? The four candidates… -
'The far-Left are clueless about the scale of the threat. They're useful idiots': Muslim former Green Party deputy leader warns Islamist subversion in our society is a danger to us allThe former deputy leader of the Green Party has warned that the far-Left are 'clueless' about the scale of the threat that Islamist ideology poses to society. Dr Shahrar Ali, who was deputy leader between 2014 and 2016, spoke to the Daily… -
Green Party’s Commitment to Social Justice and Broader Issues Defended in LettersAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Ponders End councillor issues statement on Green Party’s controversial anti-Zionism motionAziz Yildiz says he does not support the recent ‘Zionism is racism’ motion passed by the national party at its conference this month, reports Joe Ives, Local Democracy Reporter A fourth Green councillor in Enfield has said they do not… -
West Suffolk Council's ruling alliance hits snag over Green Party’s Zionism voteA council's ruling alliance has hit a snag over the Green Party's vote to declare Zionism as racism. The move was approved during the party's conference earlier this month and received criticism from other parties as well as its own… - New Green Party transport policy aims for 75% cut in carbon emissions by 2036Among a raft of ambitious initiatives, the policies include: Green Party parliamentary spokesperson on transport, Sian Berry MP, said: “For too long transport policy has focused on moving vehicles rather than enabling people to get where…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions