Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 78
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 78
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Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share? (Oct 25, 2026)
The odds
51.85%median
26%62%
Median 51.85%Middle half 50.56% – 53.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.47% on Oct 20, 51.85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 92% | ▼ 17 | 34¢ | $1.08 | 1.0K | |
| At least 34% | 92% | ▲ 9 | 85¢ | $1.08 | 4.9K | |
| At least 38% | 92% | ▲ 23 | 16¢ | $1.08 | 4.5K | |
| At least 42% | 92% | ▲ 37 | 17¢ | $1.08 | 483 | |
| At least 46% | 92% | ▲ 56 | 22¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 7.9K |
| At least 50% | 86% | ▲ 70 | 10¢ | $1.16 | 2.3K | |
| At least 54% | 8% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 1.00 |
| At least 58% | 6% | ▼ 3 | 39¢ | $2.56 | 27.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Student List, Serbian
Search ›- Elections in Serbia: the Student List challenges Aleksandar VučićLast year we covered the protest movement by Serbian students against a corrupt political class and President Vučić, which involved not only young people but also enjoyed broad support amongst the population. It all begun two years ago in…
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Serbian Americans head to consulate in Chicago to vote in Serbia's electionOctober 25, 2026 / 9:48 AM CDT / CBS/AP Sunday was election day in Serbia, and hundreds of Serbian Americans from across the Midwest cast their votes in Chicago in the middle of the night. Hundreds of Serbian Americans who haven't voted in… -
Early reports suggest record high turnout in Serbia electionsPeople queue outside a polling station in Novi Sad, Serbia's second-largest city Early reports suggest Serbian voters have turned out in large numbers for the country's election, as a student protest movement attempts to end the rule of… -
Serbia votes as strongman Vučić faces grassroots challenge to 12-year rule – Europe liveThe Student List movement is taking on authoritarian leader following nearly two years of protests against government and institutional corruption What is at stake in Serbia’s election? He served as Milošević’s information minister… -
Student movement takes Serbia's Vučić to the wire in neck-and-neck electionIf Sunday's parliamentary elections really are a battle for the heart of Serbia, then who better than a cardiologist to be one of the leading figures in the race. Ilija Srdanović appears an unlikely opponent for Serbia's long-serving… -
Šoškić: Student List government would seek to restore normality to the functioning of our stateThe Student List (SL), the strongest opposition challenger to Aleksandar Vučić’s rule to date, is wrapping up its campaign today with a rally at Slavija Square. Emerging from the student protests, the SL is not a formal political party and… -
How much did the parties in Serbia spend on the campaign: SNS around four million euros, Student List half as much...Excluding national minority lists, candidates in the snap elections in Serbia spent more than 8,5 million euros during the campaign. This is shown by their preliminary reports, submitted to the Agency for the Prevention of Corruption. The… -
Final rally of the Student List in Belgrade: "We are ending 14 years of humiliation, chaos and betrayal""In this place where there used to be a swamp, and where we are today, in the next 150 years, someone will tell someone - this is where they were and this is where the victory began," the rally at Belgrade's Slavija Square said. The… -
Massive student-led rally marches in Belgrade ahead of Serbian electionStudent List movement hopes to oust the party of veteran leader Aleksandar Vucic in a pivotal vote on Sunday Explained: what’s at stake in Serbia’s election? The key players, main issues and potential fallout About 150,000 supporters of… -
Friday briefing: How a leaderless student group is challenging power in SerbiaIn today’s newsletter: Born from the fury surrounding the deadly Novi Sad station collapse, Serbia’s Student List has taken its protests all the way to the elections in an unprecedented grassroots campaign Good morning. As waves of… -
What are the key issues in Serbia’s election – and its potential consequences?Polls on 25 October could bring a new political landscape in EU-candidate country where a student-led protest movement has become main opposition Serbia’s 6.5 million voters go to the polls on 25 October in a watershed parliamentary… -
Why a student protest movement is challenging 12 years of Vučić rule in SerbiaYoung Serbians have been the driving force behind the movement, but none of the candidates are students Rallies have been taking place across Serbia on Thursday, the final day of campaigning ahead of a snap election billed as a referendum…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions