When will a reconciliation bill become law?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 1, 2029 · $1 today · $477 traded · $19 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

38%Before Jan 1, 2029
  • Before Jan 1, 202726%
  • Before Jul 1, 202728%▼ 1
  • Before Jan 1, 202830%▼ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 202831%▼ 1
  • Before Jan 1, 202938%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 26% on Oct 20, 26% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Oct 1, 2026 2% $50.00 289
Before Jan 1, 2027 26% 23¢ 28¢ $3.57 10.00
Before Jul 1, 2027 28% ▼ 1 24¢ 33¢ $3.03
Before Jan 1, 2028 30% ▼ 1 25¢ 34¢ $2.94
Before Jul 1, 2028 31% ▼ 1 26¢ 35¢ $2.86 30.00
Before Jan 1, 2029 38% ▼ 1 34¢ 42¢ $2.38 1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions