Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Oct 3, 2026
1%
$100.00
13.3K
Before Nov 21, 2026
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
6.1K
Before Jan 1, 2027
9%
8¢
10¢
$10.00
7.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Social Security Advisory Board, Social Security Trust Fund, PROMISE Act
Report Puts Social Security Trust Fund Depletion Later Than Official ProjectionsFinanceBuzz · 37 h agoA projection indicates the trust fund may last a bit longer. The millions of Americans who depend on Social Security senior benefits may have a bit more time before the Social Security trust fund runs out. A Penn Wharton Budget Model…
Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretchFox News · 28 h agoFox News Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretch Ohio Sen. Jon Husted joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss early voting numbers, his reelection campaign strategy and the key issues shaping the midterm elections. Ohio Senate candidate Jon…
How Christianity Became a Battleground in the Texas Senate RaceNewsweek · 9 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico are making Christianity a defining issue in the home stretch of Texas’ U.S. Senate race, offering sharply different visions of what faith should mean in…
Trump Attacks Murkowski As Alaska Senate Fight Escalates: ‘Worst Senator’Newsweek · 8 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 07:59 AM EDT Oct 25, 2026 at 08:09 AM EDT President Donald Trump has escalated his criticism of Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski as a high-stakes Alaska Senate race intensifies, branding the longtime senator one of the…
Texas voters cast early ballots in key senate raceNPR · 25 h agoIn Texas, early voting is underway. The state's tight race for U.S. Senate will ultimately help decide the balance of power in Washington. Meanwhile, in Texas, early voting in the midterms is underway. The candidates in the U.S. Senate…
Senate Republicans lambaste potential coronavirus dealPOLITICO · 47 h agoThe pushback from GOP senators shows just how difficult it will be to approve a new bill. 10/10/2020 1:25 PM EDT Senate Republicans lashed out at a potential framework for a new coronavirus deal between the Trump administration and Speaker…
CBS News political experts weigh in on Texas Senate race halfway through early votingCBS News · 11 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 6:00 AM CDT / CBS Texas With the early voting period halfway over and Election Day looming, the candidates for U.S. Senate in Texas continue to cross the state to get their supporters to the polls. Both the Democratic…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions