2028 Republican presidential nominee

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $15.5K today · $3.9M traded · $1.9M at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

40%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance40%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio19%
  • Ron DeSantis5%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald J. Trump2%
  • Brian Kemp2%▲ 1
  • Glenn Youngkin1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
31 more
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Pete Hegseth1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Jeff Bezos1%
  • Candace Owens1%
  • Chris Christie1%
  • John Kennedy1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Wesley Hunt1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Nicki Minaj<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%

How the odds have moved

J.D. Vance: 43% on Oct 20, 40% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
J.D. Vance 40% ▼ 1 39¢ 40¢ $2.50 4.7M
Marco Rubio 19% 18¢ 19¢ $5.26 5.8M
Ron DeSantis 5% 5¢ 5¢ $20.41 3.4M
Tucker Carlson 3% 3¢ 3¢ $32.26 4.8M
Donald J. Trump Jr. 3% 3¢ 3¢ $37.04 3.0M
Ted Cruz 2% 2¢ 2¢ $41.67 2.4M
Donald J. Trump 2% 2¢ 2¢ $43.48 4.8M
Brian Kemp 2% ▲ 1 2¢ 2¢ $47.62 2.1M
Glenn Youngkin 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 1.2M
Ivanka Trump 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 2.4M
Thomas Massie 1% 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 3.5M
Josh Hawley 1% 1¢ 1¢ 1.7M
Byron Donalds 1% 1¢ 1¢ 1.6M
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1% 1¢ 1¢ 1.3M
Pete Hegseth 1% 1¢ 1¢ 1.5M
Lara Trump 1% 1¢ $100.00 17.0K
Spencer Pratt 1% 1¢ $100.00 618.1K
Jeff Bezos 1% 1¢ $100.00 104.7K
Candace Owens 1% 1¢ $100.00 75.7K
Chris Christie 1% 1¢ $100.00 46.4K
John Kennedy 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.2K
Doug Burgum 1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Ben Shapiro 1% 1¢ $100.00
Wesley Hunt 1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Tulsi Gabbard <1% 0¢ 1¢ 1.6M
Marjorie Taylor Greene <1% 0¢ 1¢ 3.1M
Tom Cotton <1% 0¢ 1¢ 774.4K
Rand Paul <1% 0¢ 1¢ 1.4M
Nikki Haley <1% 0¢ 0¢ 2.6M
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.4M
Katie Britt <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.2M
Greg Abbott <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.3M
Mike Pence <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.4M
Steve Bannon <1% 0¢ 0¢ 902.3K
Eric Trump <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.5M
Vivek Ramaswamy <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.7M
Elise Stefanik <1% 0¢ 0¢ 713.8K
John Thune <1% 0¢ 0¢ 462.3K
Nicki Minaj <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.4M
Elon Musk <1% 0¢ 1.5M
Matt Gaetz <1% 0¢ 1.1M
Kristi Noem <1% 0¢ 638.1K
Erika Kirk <1% 0¢ 1.1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

42%JD Vance
  • JD Vance42%
  • Marco Rubio20%
  • Ron DeSantis5%
  • Tucker Carlson5%
8 more
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.5%
  • Ted Cruz4%
  • Brian Kemp3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy1%
Crypto.comCloses Feb 1, 2029 · $4K today · $4K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance36%▼ 8
  • Marco Rubio18%▲ 2
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
39 more
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump2%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $566K today · $717M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis

Search ›

Related markets

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Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%▼ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom12%▲ 1
51 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
  • Gavin Newsom15%▼ 2
  • Jon Ossoff15%
50 more
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions