Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Crypto.com Elections › President 2028 Closes Feb 1, 2029 · $9.3K today · $9.3K traded · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

45%JD Vance
  • JD Vance45%
  • Marco Rubio16%
  • Tucker Carlson5%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.5%
  • Ted Cruz5%
  • Ron DeSantis5%
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Brian Kemp2%

How the odds have moved

JD Vance: 45% on Oct 20, 45% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
JD Vance 45% 43¢ 46¢ $2.17 238
Marco Rubio 16% 13¢ 19¢ $5.26 4.5K
Tucker Carlson 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 120
Donald J. Trump Jr. 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 2.7K
Ted Cruz 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67
Ron DeSantis 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 360
Glenn Youngkin 3% 6¢ $16.67
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 183
Tulsi Gabbard 3% 6¢ $16.67
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 6¢ $16.67 237
Nikki Haley 3% 5¢ $20.00 490
Brian Kemp 2% 3¢ $33.33 466

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Republican presidential nominee

43%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance43%
  • Marco Rubio19%
  • Ron DeSantis5%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
39 more
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.2%
  • Donald J. Trump2%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Glenn Youngkin1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Pete Hegseth1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Jeff Bezos1%
  • Candace Owens1%
  • Chris Christie1%
  • John Kennedy1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Wesley Hunt1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Nicki Minaj<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $6.5K today · $4M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
39 more
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $171K today · $714M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Republican Presidential, JD Vance, Marco Rubio

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▲ 2
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
50 more
  • Kamala Harris7%
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom9%
51 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio8%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%▲ 1
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.