Texas Senate winner? (2026)
63%James Talarico
- James Talarico63%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton37%▼ 2
Install
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
The odds
76%Conor Lamb
- Conor Lamb76%▲ 1
- Summer Lee71%▲ 1
- Chris Deluzio63%▲ 1
- John Fetterman41%▲ 1
- Malcolm Kenyatta41%▲ 1
- Chris Rabb41%▲ 1
- Chrissy Houlahan41%▲ 1
- Larry Krasner41%▲ 1
- Susan Wild21%
- Brendan Boyle19%
- Bob Casey Jr.6%
How the odds have moved
Conor Lamb: 76% on Oct 20, 76% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lamb | 76% | ▲ 1 | 72¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | |
| Summer Lee | 71% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| Chris Deluzio | 63% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 1.1K |
| John Fetterman | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 410 |
| Malcolm Kenyatta | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| Chris Rabb | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| Chrissy Houlahan | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| Larry Krasner | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| Susan Wild | 21% | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 29.00 | |
| Brendan Boyle | 19% | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 1.7K | |
| Bob Casey Jr. | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania Senate, Conor Lamb, Summer Lee
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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All senate ›2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
64%Democrats sweep
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- D-House, R-Senate26%▼ 3
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
65%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party65%▲ 2
- Republican Party36%▼ 2
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
58%Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
- Oil ≥ $85; D Senate58%▼ 1
- Oil ≥ $85; R Senate30%▼ 1
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Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)37%▼ 2
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
68%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed68%▼ 1
- Mike Rogers32%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.