Oshawa mayoral election winner? (October 26, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 26, 2027 · $4 today · $803 traded · $664 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

62%Tito-Dante Marimpietri
  • Tito-Dante Marimpietri62%▼ 1
  • Derek Giberson17%▲ 1
  • Jim Lee6%▼ 1
  • Henry Onwuachu3%▼ 1
  • Dave Westlake3%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Large3%▼ 1
  • Michael Coons2%▼ 1
  • Joseph Tomlins2%▼ 1
  • Sherland Chhangur2%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Tito-Dante Marimpietri: 72% on Oct 19, 62% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 24, 3 PM ETTito-Dante Marimpietri: 67% → 62%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Tito-Dante Marimpietri 62% ▼ 1 62¢ 70¢ $1.43 1.1K
Derek Giberson 17% ▲ 1 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 303
Jim Lee 6% ▼ 1 3¢ 11¢ $9.09
Henry Onwuachu 3% ▼ 1 7¢ $14.29
Dave Westlake 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67
Jeremy Large 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67
Michael Coons 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00
Joseph Tomlins 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00
Sherland Chhangur 2% ▼ 1 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oshawa, Tito-Dante Marimpietri, Derek Giberson

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions