What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?
1%Kamala
- Kamala1%▼ 86
- Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 89
- Hyundai1%▼ 50
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What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Washington, D.C. Keynote?
The odds
83%Cosmos
- Cosmos83%
- Humanoid80%
- TSMC75%
- Hermes64%
- Gaming32%
- Hyperscaler26%
- China / Chinese23%
- Tariff8%▲ 1
- Event does not qualify4%
How the odds have moved
Cosmos: 83% on Oct 23, 83% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cosmos | 83% | 80¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| Humanoid | 80% | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| TSMC | 75% | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| Hermes | 64% | 61¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 44.00 | |
| Gaming | 32% | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| Hyperscaler | 26% | 21¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| China / Chinese | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 43.00 | |
| Tariff | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 24.00 |
| Event does not qualify | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NVIDIA GTC Washington, Jensen Huang, D.C. Keynote
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On the ground at Nvidia GTC Berlin: Jensen Huang, robot ducks and neocloud distressThis report is from this week’s The Tech Download newsletter. Like what you see? You can subscribe here. Jensen Huang has been busy. Nvidia’s GTC in Berlin was the grand finale of a week-and-a-half whistle stop European tour. Huang met… -
Jensen Huang sees high neocloud demandCNBC's Arjun Kharpal reports on his interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at the GTC Conference. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC ... Jensen Huang sees high neocloud… -
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang urges Europe to build AI infrastructureAI infrastructure investment becomes a key battleground as NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang tours Europe to promote the technology's massive economic benefits. Huang estimates each proposed data center requires fifty billion dollars, generating… -
Nvidia's Jensen Huang says demand for neoclouds is 'off the charts'CNBC Nvidia's Jensen Huang says demand for neoclouds is 'off the charts' -
Watch CNBC's full interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen HuangCNBC Watch CNBC's full interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang -
Nvidia's Jensen Huang: AI is like a baby, you have to contain and monitorCNBC Nvidia's Jensen Huang: AI is like a baby, you have to contain and monitor -
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says neocloud demand is 'off the charts' but capital is scarceNvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC Thursday that demand for neocloud firms is "off the charts," but scarce capital is holding back growth. "If you look at the fundamentals, the demand for the neo clouds is off the charts," Huang told CNBC's… -
Nvidia's Jensen Huang says he sees no sign of a 2029 memory glut: 'You can always use more'Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC Thursday that a surplus of memory supply is unlikely by 2029, despite a sell-off in memory stocks over the past week amid concerns about oversupply and weakening demand. "One of the things that's really… -
Jensen Huang receives IJF Honorary Black BeltDuring his visit, he met with Jensen Huang, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of NVIDIA and Mr Timur Kemell, IJF Director of Promotion and Development. On this occasion, Mr Huang was presented with an IJF honorary black belt, in… -
Jensen Huang’s Vision for Europe Runs on Plug-In Data CentersJensen Huang outlined his vision of Europe’s future at Nvidia’s global conference in Berlin on Wednesday. It consists of robotics, AI agents, and modular data centers, with Nvidia unsurprisingly powering it all. “To be part of this AI… -
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang backs Seattle lab with 7 million GPU hoursJensen Huang’s foundation is giving a Seattle research lab massive computing power to speed up AI-driven protein design for medicine and sustainability. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and his wife Lori Huang are supporting… -
Nvidia’s Jensen Huang joined on stage by robot ducks as he hails Europe’s AI potentialNvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes that Europe’s engineering expertise gives it an edge in physical AI and robotics, he said on Wednesday as the US tech giant announced expanded partnerships with European manufacturers and startups. “Every…
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100%Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
- Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice100%▲ 90
- Bibi / Netanyahu41%▼ 21
- Stupid Question18%▲ 4
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- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome16%▼ 12
- Autopen / Auto Pen14%▼ 9
- Zohran / Mamdani7%▼ 4
- Houthi6%▼ 7
- Tomahawk5%▼ 8
- Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis5%▼ 4
- Golden Dome4%▼ 3
- Antifa4%▼ 5
- Peace in the Middle East4%▼ 2
- Zacharia3%▼ 5
- Crypto / Bitcoin2%▼ 2
- UFO / UAP2%▼ 6
- Uranium1%▼ 4
- Prediction Market / Predictive Market1%▼ 1
- Make Iran Great Again1%▼ 2
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
98%Communist / Communism
- Communist / Communism98%▲ 1
- El-Sayed98%
- Save America Act97%▲ 1
29 more
- Dividend / Stimulus97%▲ 3
- Stock Market96%▲ 1
- Barack Hussein Obama95%▲ 5
- Cheat / Cheater / Cheating94%▲ 1
- Canada / Canadian94%▲ 10
- Hottest93%▲ 1
- Sleepy Joe88%▲ 6
- Nuclear (3+ times)87%▲ 5
- Supreme Court87%▼ 1
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- Auto Worker / Autoworker84%▲ 3
- Hormuz78%▲ 13
- Ford / General Motors / GM76%▼ 7
- Iran (5+ times)74%▲ 1
- Russia / Ukraine72%▼ 8
- Kamala67%▼ 14
- Gulf of America64%▼ 6
- Blockade38%▼ 23
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- AI / Artificial Intelligence19%▼ 11
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- Deport / Deported / Deportation15%▼ 1
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100%Altman
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- Housing / Rent100%▲ 20
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- Corrupt / Corruption100%▲ 26
- Trump (5+ times)100%▲ 25
- Israel / Netanyahu100%▲ 34
- Social Security100%▲ 27
- Data Center100%▲ 37
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- Midterm100%▲ 28
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics100%▲ 44
- China / Chinese100%▲ 63
- Socialist / Socialism100%▲ 82
- Immigrant / Immigration100%▲ 73
- ChatGPT / OpenAI100%▲ 94
- Climate1%▼ 71
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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth?
100%AI / Artificial Intelligence
- AI / Artificial Intelligence100%▲ 7
- Billionaire (5+ times)100%▲ 23
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline100%▲ 20
18 more
- Housing / Rent100%▲ 14
- Iran / Iranian100%▲ 16
- Corrupt / Corruption100%▲ 17
- Trump (5+ times)100%▲ 30
- Israel / Netanyahu100%▲ 36
- Climate100%▲ 25
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics100%▲ 44
- China / Chinese100%▲ 63
- Immigrant / Immigration100%▲ 77
- Trillionaire100%▲ 44
- Social Security1%▼ 63
- Data Center1%▼ 54
- Midterm1%▼ 66
- Socialist / Socialism1%▼ 21
- Student Loan / Student Debt1%▼ 13
- Zohran / Mamdani1%▼ 18
- ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 5
- Event does not qualify1%▼ 8
What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?
94%Save America Act
- Save America Act94%▼ 1
- Cheat / Cheater / Cheating93%▲ 4
- Barack Hussein Obama88%▲ 2
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- Sleepy Joe88%
- Nuclear (3+ times)87%▲ 4
- ICE84%▼ 2
- Supreme Court83%▼ 1
- Tariff (3+ times)82%▲ 3
- France82%▲ 6
- Sanctuary82%▲ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions