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>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 82
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Northern Midlands mayoral election winner? (October 27, 2026)
The odds
42%Andrew McCullagh
- Andrew McCullagh42%▲ 1
- Alison Andrews25%▲ 1
- Paul Terrett14%▲ 2
- Wendy Mitchell10%▲ 1
- Adam Barnett8%
How the odds have moved
Andrew McCullagh: 41% on Oct 19, 42% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCullagh | 42% | ▲ 1 | 38¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 167 |
| Alison Andrews | 25% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| Paul Terrett | 14% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| Wendy Mitchell | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 150 |
| Adam Barnett | 8% | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 194 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Northern Midlands, Andrew McCullagh, Alison Andrews
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Commercializing Vietnam's ethnic rituals: Where should the line be drawn?23/10/2026 10:35 (GMT+07:00) As tourism and economic development reshape Vietnam's northern highlands, researchers warn that sacred rituals and indigenous beliefs must not become mere commercial attractions, urging greater community… -
'We'd end up in court': Mayoral hopeful risks firing, dares minister to tryAn outspoken councillor contesting the top job has all but dared the minister to sack him as he faces four suspensions inside one term. Three new code of conduct sanctions suspending Northern Midlands councillor and mayoral hopeful Andrew… -
Thai Nguyen promotes comprehensive cooperation with Korean partners.On October 15th, in Dong Nai City, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in coordination with the Korean Embassy in Vietnam and local authorities, organized the 2026 Korea Meeting Conference, aiming to strengthen connections and promote… -
Ninth Session of the 15th Thai Nguyen Provincial People's Council: Effectively implementing social welfare policies.At its Ninth Session (special session) held on the morning of October 14th, the 15th Provincial People's Council of Thai Nguyen Province approved eight resolutions in important areas, contributing to the improvement of mechanisms and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions