Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania? (Before Jan 1, 2045)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closed Tue 2:37 PM ET · $2.8K traded · $1.2K at stake

Settled Luca NiculescuA day before, traders gave it 93%.

The last odds before it closed

93%Luca Niculescu
  • ✓ Luca Niculescu93%▲ 1
  • Sorin Grindeanu2%▼ 1
  • Eugen Tomac2%▼ 1
  • Alexandru Nazare1%▼ 1
  • Leonardo Badea1%
  • Mugur Isărescu<1%
  • Mircea Geoană<1%
  • Anca Dragu<1%
  • Lucian Isar<1%
  • Cătălin Predoiu<1%
  • George Simion<1%
  • Nicolae Ciucă<1%
18 more
  • Marcel Ciolacu<1%
  • Alexandru Rafila<1%
  • Sebastian Burduja<1%
  • Ionuț Dumitru<1%
  • Elena Lasconi<1%
  • Cătălin Drulă<1%
  • Vasile Dîncu<1%
  • Dacian Cioloș<1%
  • Emil Boc<1%
  • Dominic Fritz<1%
  • Raluca Turcan<1%
  • Lucian Croitoru<1%
  • Delia Velculescu<1%
  • Șerban Matei<1%
  • Radu Burnete<1%
  • Victor Ponta<1%
  • Siegfried Mureșan<1%
  • Alexandru Rogobete<1%

How the odds have moved

Luca Niculescu: 93% on Oct 20, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Luca Niculescu 93% 1.9K
✗ Sorin Grindeanu 2% 22.2K
✗ Eugen Tomac 2% 6.3K
✗ Alexandru Nazare 1% 11.9K
✗ Leonardo Badea 1% 91.00
✗ Mugur Isărescu <1% 572
✗ Mircea Geoană <1% 118
✗ Anca Dragu <1% 516
✗ Lucian Isar <1% 345
✗ Cătălin Predoiu <1% 4.5K
✗ George Simion <1% 1.6K
✗ Nicolae Ciucă <1% 141
✗ Marcel Ciolacu <1% 851
✗ Alexandru Rafila <1% 908
✗ Sebastian Burduja <1% 134
✗ Ionuț Dumitru <1% 1.9K
✗ Elena Lasconi <1% 1.4K
✗ Cătălin Drulă <1% 125
✗ Vasile Dîncu <1% 481
✗ Dacian Cioloș <1% 602
✗ Emil Boc <1% 269
✗ Dominic Fritz <1% 573
✗ Raluca Turcan <1% 617
✗ Lucian Croitoru <1% 1.4K
✗ Delia Velculescu <1% 1.5K
✗ Șerban Matei <1% 1.9K
✗ Radu Burnete <1% 561
✗ Victor Ponta <1% 89.00
✗ Siegfried Mureșan <1% 29.00
✗ Alexandru Rogobete <1% 108

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prime Minister of Romania, Luca Niculescu, Sorin Grindeanu

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions