KalshiPolitics › CongressCloses Feb 1, 2027 · $30 today · $1.5K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago
The odds
Dec 22, 2026even chance by
Before Nov 1, 20261%
Before Dec 1, 20263%
Before Dec 15, 202617%
Before Dec 25, 202666%▲ 2
Before Jan 1, 202781%▲ 1
Before Feb 1, 202783%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 4% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Oct 1, 2026
7%
$14.29
1.00
Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
2¢
$50.00
3.5K
Before Dec 1, 2026
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
2.4K
Before Dec 15, 2026
17%
13¢
21¢
$4.76
2.0K
Before Dec 25, 2026
66%
▲ 2
63¢
69¢
$1.45
459
Before Jan 1, 2027
81%
▲ 1
76¢
85¢
$1.18
409
Before Feb 1, 2027
83%
▲ 2
79¢
87¢
$1.15
514
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: National Defense Authorization Act, FY2027 NDAA, Fiscal
Pentagon Designates Confucius Institutes A National Security ThreatZeroHedge · 21 h agoAuthored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times, "Chinese government-backed propaganda cultural programs" like Confucius Institutes had infiltrated universities in almost every state, he said, before Congress banned such institutes years…
US Treasury proposes expanding tech investment restrictions to N. KoreaThe Korea Times · 2 days agoThe seal of the Treasury Department is seen before a news conference, Aug. 24, at the Treasury Department in Washington. AP-Yonhap WASHINGTON — The U.S. Treasury Department has proposed expanding restrictions on American investments in…
U.S. Treasury Department proposes expanding tech investment restrictions to N. KoreaYonhap News Agency · 2 days agoWASHINGTON, Oct. 23 (Yonhap) -- The U.S. Treasury Department has proposed expanding restrictions on American investments in sensitive technologies to include North Korea and several other countries, as Washington seeks to prevent…
Pentagon, Lockheed Martin Reach 10-Year Framework Agreement for 850 F-35sThe Aviationist · 34 h agoThe U.S. Department of War and Lockheed Martin announced on Oct. 22, 2026 that they reached a framework agreement for ten years of F-35 production and long-term sustainment. The agreement includes at least 850 F-35 Lightning II for the…
War Department reveals results of US college foreign financial and research auditfreerepublic.com · 32 h agoThe Pentagon released the results Monday of its initial research security audits of 30 American universities over their financial and research relationships with foreign entities. The War Department directed the universities, which…
Apple & Google News Feature Outlets Favored by Ad Fontes, NewsGuard Ratings - MRC StudyMRC Free Speech America · 2 days agoMedia Research Center analysis of the Press Gazette top 50 list filtered through the lens of two well-known, leftist media bias ratings firms provides yet more evidence of Apple and Google’s anti-conservative agenda. MRC researchers…
Congress directs Treasury to review investments in quantum techQuantum Zeitgeist · 2 days agoWith a keen intuition for emerging technologies, The Neuron brings over 5 years of deep expertise to the AI conversation. Coming from roots in software engineering, they've witnessed firsthand the transformation from traditional computing…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
