Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 82
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 83
Install
Northern Nalšia by-election winner? (November 8, 2026)
The odds
43%Gintautas Kindurys
- Gintautas Kindurys43%▲ 1
- Vladislavas Kondratovičius15%▲ 1
- Ignotas Adomavičius10%▲ 1
- Mėta Paulauskė7%▲ 1
- Dalia Štraupaitė6%▲ 1
- Andrejus Šildiajevas4%▲ 1
- Antanas Šakalys4%▲ 1
- Nikolajus Lebedevičius3%
- Giedrius Dainys3%
- Maksimas Paukštė3%
- Viktoras Voroninas3%
How the odds have moved
Gintautas Kindurys: 41% on Oct 19, 43% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gintautas Kindurys | 43% | ▲ 1 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 489 |
| Vladislavas Kondratovičius | 15% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 10% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 199 |
| Mėta Paulauskė | 7% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 214 |
| Andrejus Šildiajevas | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | |
| Antanas Šakalys | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Giedrius Dainys | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Maksimas Paukštė | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Viktoras Voroninas | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Northern Nalšia, Gintautas Kindurys, Vladislavas Kondratovičius
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
>99%Student List – Students Win
- Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 71
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 72
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
99%Lula da Silva <4%
- Lula da Silva <4%99%▲ 84
- Lula da Silva 4-8%<1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+<1%▼ 2
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%<1%▼ 4
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%<1%▼ 34
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%<1%▼ 43
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
69%Yashar
- Yashar69%▼ 2
- Likud30%▲ 2
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
27%Ilija Srdanović
- Ilija Srdanović27%▲ 18
- Aleksandar Vučić2%▼ 67
- Vladan Đokić1%
7 more
- Ivica Dačić<1%
- Ana Brnabić<1%
- Stefan Krkobabić<1%
- Miloš Vučević<1%
- Đuro Macut<1%
- Branimir Jovanović<1%
- Dragan Đilas<1%
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
93%Iotova <10%
- Iotova <10%93%▲ 74
- Gyurov <10%4%▲ 4
- Gyurov 20-30%1%
6 more
- Iotova 30-40%1%▼ 1
- Gyurov 30%+<1%▼ 1
- Iotova 40%+<1%▼ 1
- Iotova 10-20%<1%▼ 59
- Iotova 20-30%<1%▼ 19
- Gyurov 10-20%<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions