Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
198.4median
160230
Median 198.4Middle half 189.8 – 203.8
Install
Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India? (Before Jan 2029)
The odds
41%Before Jan 1, 2029
- Before Jul 1, 202713%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202816%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202826%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202941%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jul 1, 2027: 8% on Oct 19, 13% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 13% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 827 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 158 |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 26% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 241 |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 27.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi
Search ›-
India's Narendra Modi sworn in for third term as prime ministerJune 9, 2024 / 11:11 AM EDT / AP India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi took office for a third consecutive term on Sunday, but it may hold more challenges for the popular-but-polarizing leader than his past decade in power. His Hindu… -
1.5km bridge to offer smoother link to Narendra Modi Stadium in AhmedabadTo ensure smoother connectivity from Ranip and surrounding areas to Narendra Modi Stadium, AMC will build a railway overbridge (ROB) from Radhaswami Road via Bakramandi to Acher Depot. The civic body has initiated an exercise to widen the… -
Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurates Chinmaya Amrit Mahotsav Global SammelanPrime Minister Modi urges unity against divisive forces and self-reliance to build a Developed India by 2047 at Chinmaya Amrit Mahotsav Global Sammelan. Must unite society against divisive forces, says PM Modi at Chinmaya Amrit Mahotsav… -
BJP Targets Rahul Gandhi Foreign Visits, Congress Hits Back Citing PM Narendra Modi Global TripsThe Bharatiya Janata Party has mounted an attack on Leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi over his visits abroad, questioning his meetings and alleging engagement with anti-India elements. Addressing a press conference, BJP MP Sudhanshu… -
New Delhi: PM Narendra Modi Attends NDTV World Summit #GalleryNew Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi addresses the NDTV World Summit in New Delhi on Thursday, October 22, 2026. (Photo: IANS/X/@BJP4India) New Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi addresses the NDTV World Summit in New Delhi... - Social… -
New Delhi: Uttarakhand Governor Dhal Singh Bisen Meets Prime Minister Narendra Modi #GalleryNew Delhi: Uttarakhand Governor Dhal Singh Bisen meets Prime Minister Narendra Modi in New Delhi on Thursday, October 22, 2026. (Photo: IANS/X/@PMOIndia) New Delhi: Uttarakhand Governor Dhal Singh Bisen meets Prime Minister Narendra Modi… -
Polish PM Donald Tusk meets PM Narendra Modi at Hyderabad HousePolish PM Donald Tusk meets PM Narendra Modi at Hyderabad House left New Delhi, Oct 22 (ANI): Prime Minister Narendra Modi shakes hands with his Polish counterpart, Donald Tusk, at Hyderabad House, in New Delhi on Thursday - Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) on XAcross sectors, India is achieving several firsts. Our conventional strengths are growing stronger. We are making our mark in new areas too. This is the impact of Reform, Perform and Transform! X Narendra Modi on X: "Across sectors, India…
-
'Protests Seeking Accountability Are Necessary, But Congress Destroys Them,' Says PM Narendra ModiPrime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday accused the Congress of weakening movements demanding accountability and reforms, saying such protests were essential in a democracy but were being undermined by the opposition party. Speaking at… - Congress slams PM Narendra Modi for silence over Ram Temple land dealThe Tribune Congress leader and Rajya Sabha MP Jairam Ramesh on Thursday revived questions over the controversial purchase of land for the Ram temple in Ayodhya, alleging that the issue involved not just the alleged theft of devoteesâ…
-
PM Narendra Modi Invites Polish Companies To Co-Develop & Co-Produce Defence, Space & Nuclear Energy Technologies With India | VideoNew Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday invited Polish companies to engage in co-development and co-production with India in defence, space and nuclear energy, saying the two countries had reached an agreement to deepen… -
Daler Mehndi controversy: FWICE writes to PM Narendra Modi, Uttarakhand CM Pushkar Singh Dhami after minister’s alcohol allegationThe Federation of Western India Cine Employees (FWICE) has extended its support to singer Daler Mehndi amid the controversy surrounding his performance at an event in Uttarakhand. The federation has written to Prime Minister Narendra Modi…
Related markets
All world leaders ›Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
185.8median
140230
Median 185.8Middle half 176.0 – 197.2
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
293.4median
250340
Median 293.4Middle half 282.6 – 308.3
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189median
140230
Median 189Middle half 175.4 – 201.4
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
295median
250340
Median 295Middle half 285 – 306.0
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 9, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202720%▼ 1
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202735%
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202849%
- Before Jul 1, 202856%
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.