Michigan Governor-Senate combo (Before Nov 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $51 today · $17K traded · $8.3K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

68%Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win68%
Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win27%▲ 1
John James and Mike Rogers win6%▲ 2
John James and Abdul El-Sayed win1%

How the odds have moved

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win: 68% on Oct 20, 68% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win	68%		68¢	69¢	$1.45	17.1K
Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win	27%	▲ 1	27¢	28¢	$3.57	13.5K
John James and Mike Rogers win	6%	▲ 2	5¢	7¢	$14.29	22.8K
John James and Abdul El-Sayed win	1%			2¢	$50.00	24.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Michigan Governor-Senate

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Election 2026 Michigan Governor SenateLeader-Telegram · 11 days agoLeader-Telegram Republican nominee for U.S. Senate Mike Rogers, left, and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate Abdul El-Sayed shake hands before a televised debate at WOOD-TV, Thursday, Oct. 8, 2026, in Grand Rapids, Mich. Now, more than…
Election 2026 Michigan SenateDaily Record · 12 days agoElection 2026 Michigan Governor Senate dailyrecordnews.com - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Republican nominee for U.S. Senate Mike Rogers, responds to questions from the media after a televised…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMichigan Board of State Canvassers

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 11:00 AM ET

Traded$17K (77,355 contracts)

Today$51

This week$17K

At stake$8.3K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Conservative Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.