Fed Decision in October?
95%No change
- No change95%
- 25 bps increase4%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
The odds
9.85median
8.7510.5
Median 9.85Middle half 9.76 – 9.95
How the odds have moved
Median: 9.86 on Oct 20, 9.85 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9.00 Tcf | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 348 | |
| Above 9.25 Tcf | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 2.7K | |
| Above 9.50 Tcf | 94% | 93¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 9.3K | |
| Above 9.75 Tcf | 78% | 77¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 14.6K | |
| Above 10.00 Tcf | 12% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 24.3K | |
| Above 10.25 Tcf | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 302 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Marcellus
Search ›-
Marcellus Girls Varsity Soccer vs. Holland PatentHolland Patent Girls Varsity Soccer @ Marcellus MaxPreps Follow your favorite high school teams and players Stat keeping for basketball teams See top plays & highlights of the best high school sports Get access to live game streams and… -
Marcellus library keeps knitting for Samaritan Center going strongEagle News Online The Marcellus Library will again be collecting knitted hats and hosting a knit-a-thon in support of the Samaritan Center. Martha Williams who knitted 366 hats in 2024 for the collection drive. Many people knew May Arnett… -
From 27% to 2%: Marcellus learns to rebalance, diversify and buy dipsAfter five years of 27% returns, Marcellus Investment Managers’ flagship portfolio delivered just 2% over the next four. The experience taught the team three lessons: rebalance systematically, diversify beyond consumer and financial… - Little Meatball, Big Heart: Paul Urriola on Marcellus, The Music Man and the Power of Singing TogetherBy Sarah A. Spitz Los Angeles, CA (The Hollywood Times) October 21, 2026…..Paul Urriola was three or four years old when his grandfather slipped the VHS tape of The Music Man into the machine. Robert Preston was swaggering across the…
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Posco International Corporation agreed to acquire non-operated Marcellus position of Chord Energy Corporation for $550 million.Posco International Corporation agreed to acquire non-operated Marcellus position of Chord Energy Corporation for $550 million on September 16, 2026. A cash consideration of $550 million will be... Posco International Corporation… -
“Take The Attention And Run With It”: Marcellus Wiley’s Advice To WNBA About Elle Duncan’s Stance On “Toxic” Casual FansThe WNBA has become part of the national discourse this season, mainly for political and not athletic reasons. But that isn't necessarily a bad thing, says former NFL player Marcellus Wiley. It can actually be the start of a better… -
Take a Lap with the Cavaliers: Maddox MarcellusCHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (CBS19 SPORTS)-- You may have heard from the Virginia football team, whether that be before or after games, but how about really getting to know them outside of the game? CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (CBS19 SPORTS)-- You may… -
Marcellus High School Volleyball On Demand GamesVolleyball On Demand Games - Marcellus High School - Marcellus, NY NFHS Network Back to Marcellus Volleyball Marcellus High School Volleyball On Demand Games -
Asia’s Yen for US Shale Moves to the Marcellus. Can Pipes Keep Up? | East DaleySouth Korea’s POSCO International has agreed to purchase Chord Energy’s (CHRD) Marcellus gas assets for $550MM, the latest entry by an Asian consumer into the US gas patch. The deal highlights a theme East Daley sees emerging: Buying US… - 'RHOBH' Star Annemarie Wiley Wins Sole Custody, 3-Year Restraining Order Against Marcellus WileyAnnemarie Wiley has won sole custody of her three children as her explosive divorce from former NFL star Marcellus Wiley continues to unfold. The former Real Housewives of Beverly Hills cast member was also granted a three-year domestic…
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Westhill girls soccer hits late skid; Fragnito nets eight for MarcellusAll that the Marcellus girls soccer team did when it defeated main rival Westhill 3-2 on Oct. 1 is slightly shuffle the way both teams stood in the ensuing weekâs state Class B rankings. All that the Marcellus girls soccer team did when… -
Sit Down with Men’s Hockey Senior Captain Mason MarcellusQ30’s Ava Heaton had the chance to sit down with Senior Captain Mason Marcellus ahead of the Men’s Ice Hockey 2026-27 home opener. Sit Down with Men’s Hockey Senior Captain Mason Marcellus Q30’s Ava Heaton had the chance to sit down with…
Related markets
All economy ›Fed Decision in December?
76%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase76%
- No change20%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase3%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
96%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)96%▼ 1
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
10 more
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
182.6median
160200
Median 182.6Middle half 178.1 – 187.8
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
5.27%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 5.27%Middle half 3.78% – 7.2%
US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions