Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
China / Chinese
77%
63¢
77¢
$1.30
16.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
77%
72¢
81¢
$1.23
Drone
70%
69¢
83¢
$1.20
105
Manufacture / Manufacturing
67%
63¢
71¢
$1.41
161
Autonomous / Autonomy
67%
62¢
71¢
$1.41
Oculus
56%
52¢
61¢
$1.64
Meridian
52%
47¢
56¢
$1.79
Submarine
45%
47¢
58¢
$1.72
105
Iran / Iranian
44%
28¢
42¢
$2.38
3.00
Trump (3+ times)
42%
37¢
46¢
$2.17
Ukraine / Ukrainian
42%
37¢
46¢
$2.17
2.00
Arsenal
39%
23¢
37¢
$2.70
3.00
Taiwan
32%
27¢
36¢
$2.78
Pentagon
31%
26¢
35¢
$2.86
3.00
Lattice
27%
22¢
31¢
$3.23
Meta
22%
17¢
26¢
$3.85
IPO
21%
17¢
25¢
$4.00
Event does not qualify
6%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
10.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, Palmer Luckey
Startup equips genetically enhanced dogs with Palmer Luckey’s military techThe Verge · 4 days agoA new Texas-based defense startup has a plan to improve military and police dogs in the US: it's going to genetically modify them and equip them with Anduril's military technology. Warhound is the brainchild of Anduril's Palmer Luckey and…
Cool, Cool, Cool, Palmer Luckey Made a Genetically Modified Military Dog StartupWIRED · 4 days agoA new startup launched today with the definitely not terrifying mission of creating genetically enhanced dogs for the United States military, law enforcement, and emergency first responders. Warhound is the brainchild of Anduril’s Palmer…
Palmer Luckey: Lobbyists Run ‘Sham’ Defense of H-1B DisplacementBreitbart · 2 days agoPoliticians and business leaders know the H-1B visa program is a corrupt sham, but are too fearful to fix the problem, says billionaire tech-sector inventor Palmer Luckey. “Everyone knows the [H-1B visa] guy in Cubicle Bay 7 doing mediocre…
Palmer Luckey Is Launching a Genetically Engineered War Dog StartupMother Jones · 3 days agoIt is a truth universally acknowledged that rich people love a designer dog. It’s no surprise, then, that weapons-tech entrepreneurs—being wealthy and ostentatious—would get in on the designer-dog market. Enter Warhound, the brainchild of…
Palmer Luckey Says He’s Breeding Genetically Enhanced Dogs for the MilitaryFuturism · 3 days agoPublished Oct 23, 2026 2:02 PM EDT Try to imagine the most dystopian military startup you can think of, and there’s a good chance it already has a billion-dollar valuation in Texas. Palmer Luckey’s Warhound is a perfect case-in-point…
Anduril’s Palmer Luckey launches genetically-engineered ‘war dogs’ startupRT International · 3 days agoAnduril Industries CEO Palmer Luckey is working to clone and genetically engineer dogs for the American military, in a venture backed by the CIA and a biotech billionaire who plans on resurrecting prehistoric creatures. Texas-based startup…
Palmer Luckey's New Defense Startup Is Cloning War DogsYahoo Finance · 4 days agoPalmer Luckey and Ben Lamm have launched Warhound, a stealth startup aiming to genetically engineer high-performance military working dogs for U.S. defense and first responders. Warhound said it raised $200 million in seed funding and, in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
