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Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 7.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills
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An Eva Gonzalès Retrospective Puts the Artist Back on the MapA Petit Palais retrospective for Eva Gonzalès rejects the artist as an Impressionist and makes the case for her to be better known. A retrospective for Eva Gonzalès, who is today best known as Édouard Manet’s only formal pupil, has been… -
Barnes & Noble sets grand opening at Ontario MillsBarnes & Noble is on an expansion streak, opening new stores across Southern California. Its latest opens Wednesday, Oct. 21 at Ontario Mills in the former Sam Ash space, next to AMC theatres. After 15 years of reducing its store count… - Gonzales pleads guilty, sentenced for fatal shooting in Hazle TownshipWILKES-BARRE — A Hazleton man pled guilty to the ambush fatal shooting of an 18-year-old man and injuring another person outside an auto-repair garage in Hazle Township nearly four years ago. Reymer Gonzales, 21, East Mine Street, was…
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Mecatos Winter Park is open in former home of The Coop; UniMart konbini now open in Mills MarketOrlando Weekly is the Orlando area’s award-winning alternative media company. We have been Orlando’s source for local news, opinion, events and culture for over 30 years. Mecatos Bakery & Cafe has opened in the former home of The Coop at… -
Frank Rimerman Advisors LLC Purchases New Shares in General Mills, Inc. $GISFrank Rimerman Advisors LLC purchased a new position in shares of General Mills, Inc. (NYSE:GIS – Free Report) during the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm… -
Edwin Clay MillsThe Mexico Ledger Edwin “Ed” Clay Mills, 73, of Mexico, died Oct. 15, 2026, at Pin Oaks Living Center in Mexico. Funeral services will be held at 11 a.m. on Oct. 21, at Arnold Funeral Home with a burial to follow in Union Chapel Cemetery… -
Shirley Mills ThompsonFebruary 2, 1951October 17, 2026 Shirley Mills Thompson, who was raised in Jacksonville, NC, peacefully went to her heavenly home on Saturday, October 17, 2026. She is reunited with her husband, Ervin Ray Thompson, whose passing she never… -
Govt curbs sugar diversion for ethanol, mills warn of losses during surplus yearNew Delhi: The government has decided to procure mostly grain-based ethanol for its petrol blending programme this year, as it seeks to prevent the diversion of sugarcane and boost sugar production at a time when acreage has declined… -
Saturday cross country: Defiance's Gonzales fourth in WBL meetWAPAKONETA — The Defiance boys and girls cross country teams finished fourth and sixth, respectively, in the annual Western Buckeye League championships hosted by Wapakoneta High School on Saturday. In the girls meet, O-G finished second… -
Katy officials to conduct emergency training at Katy Mills MallKATY, Texas — Officials in Katy are having a planned active threat training exercise at Katy Mills Mall on Sunday evening. All departments, including mall personnel and Katy first responders, will participate in the full-scale training… - Marsha Mills' Ode To The Walnut Street BridgeChattanooga poet Marsha Mills was part of the grand re-opening of the Walnut Street Bridge. Click here for the poem "Bridge Us" that she wrote and performed. - UTC Men Play In Final Tournament Of The Fall At Qubein Cup - Davis Shore…
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Mills Observatory Weather Tracker: 19–24 October 2026It’s looking like a challenging week for stargazing in Dundee, with cloudy skies and rain expected for much of the coming week. However, there could be one particularly promising evening ahead! Dundee Culture’s latest Mills Observatory…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions