Brazil Presidential Election
83%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva83%▲ 67
- Flávio Bolsonaro17%▼ 67
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Kaduna State Governor winner? (2027)
The odds
73%APC
- APC73%
- ADC17%
- PDP6%
- NDC4%
How the odds have moved
APC: 73% on Oct 19, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 73% | 69¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| ADC | 17% | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| PDP | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| NDC | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kaduna State Governor
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Tinubu: Uba Sani tackles northern opposition candidatesSunday, October 25, 2026 25 October 2026 2:35 am WAT Kaduna State Governor, Uba Sani Kaduna State Governor, Uba Sani, has challenged opposition politicians seeking to unseat President Bola Tinubu in 2027 to present their records in office… -
APC Kaduna Rally: Predicted Chaos Didn’t Happen – Shehu SaniSani stated this in a post reacting to the rally held on Saturday in Kaduna, which marked the formal launch of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s re-election campaign ahead of the 2027 presidential election. “We are done with the rally in our… -
2027: Opposition Campaigning With AI, Not On Ground – Uba SaniKaduna State Governor, Uba Sani, has accused opposition parties of relying on artificial intelligence (AI) for their campaigns rather than engaging in physical mobilisation ahead of the 2027 general election. “The opposition has now… -
Shehu Sani Hails Peaceful APC Rally In Kaduna, Mocks Predictions Of ChaosSun Oct 25, 2026 October 24, 2026 8:43 PM GMT+1 In a statement after Saturday’s rally, Sani said the event had proved wrong those who doubted that it could hold peacefully. “Those who said it can’t happen, now it has happened. Those who… -
2027: ‘Opposition Now Campaigning With AI,’ — Uba SaniKaduna State Governor, Uba Sani, has accused opposition parties of relying on artificial intelligence (AI) for their campaigns rather than engaging in physical mobilisation ahead of the 2027 general election. “The opposition has now… -
2027: APC national chairman presents flags to North-West governorship candidatesSaturday, October 24, 2026 24 October 2026 7:13 pm WAT APC National Chairman Nentawe Yilwatda From Noah Ebije, Kaduna The presentation took place during the flag-off of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s re-election campaign in Kaduna, attended… -
Tinubu Arrives Kaduna for 2027 Campaign Flag-Off, Welcomed by Shettima, Uba SaniThe President was received on arrival by Vice President Kashim Shettima and Kaduna State Governor, Senator Uba Sani, alongside other government officials and party leaders. The visit marks a significant moment in the ruling party’s… -
‘I Didn’t Create Hunger Poverty, My Opponents Did’ — TinubuPresident Bola Tinubu has accused his political opponents of creating hunger and poverty in Nigeria, insisting that his administration is working to address the challenges. Tinubu stated this on Saturday in a Facebook post following the… -
Nigerian President Inaugurates 81km Abuja???Kaduna HighwayBy Temitope Mustapha, Abuja Speaking at the campaign ground in Kaduna, the Minister of Works, Senator David Umahi, described the newly completed road section as part of the Federal Government’s efforts to modernise critical transport… -
Uba Sani Asks Atiku To Account For North-East Road ProjectsKaduna State Governor Uba Sani has challenged former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar to provide evidence of road projects he helped deliver in the North-East while serving in office from 1999 to 2007. Speaking at the APC presidential… -
President Tinubu Arrives in Kaduna for APC Campaign Flag-OffMercy Chukwudiebere and Temitope Mustapha, Abuja The President, accompanied by his wife, First Lady Senator Oluremi Tinubu, was received on arrival at kaduna Airport at 1:59pm, on Saturday, was received by Vice President Kashim Shettima… -
Tinubu spent more protecting billboards in few days than Kaduna people in 3 years – OdinkaluFormer Chairman of the National Human Rights Commission, NHRC, Professor Chidi Odinkalu, has criticised President Bola Tinubu and the Kaduna State Governor Uba Sani over security arrangements for their billboards amid persistent insecurity…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions