Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 81
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 81
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Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner? (2027)
The odds
54%Brothers of Italy
- Brothers of Italy54%▼ 1
- Democratic Party37%
- Five Star Movement4%
- Forza Italia4%
- Lega3%
How the odds have moved
Brothers of Italy: 55% on Oct 20, 54% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brothers of Italy | 54% | ▼ 1 | 51¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 697 |
| Democratic Party | 37% | 34¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 5.0K | |
| Five Star Movement | 4% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | 22.00 | |
| Forza Italia | 4% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $13.89 | 1.6K | |
| Lega | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | 37.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Italian Chamber of Deputies, Democratic Party, Five Star Movement
Search ›-
Michigan sheriff to leaves Democratic Party over shift to the leftSaginaw County Sheriff William Federspiel joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discusses leaving the Democratic Party and endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race. Michigan sheriff to leaves Democratic Party over shift to… -
Ex-con former Dem Ill. Gov. Rod Blagojevich urges America to vote Republican: ‘Democratic Party has been hijacked by socialists’Disgraced ex-con and Democratic former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich on Sunday urged voters to cast ballots for Republicans, griping that socialists such as Zohran Mamdani have “hijacked’’ the Dem Party. Blagojevich — who was convicted of… -
Francis Suarez: Hispanic voters are shifting away from the Democratic PartyFormer Miami Mayor Francis Suarez discusses the shifting political alignment of Hispanic voters and President Donald Trump's upcoming Florida rally. Suarez highlights key issues driving voters toward the GOP ahead of the midterm elections… -
Rahm Emanuel pleads for the Democratic Party to welcome more 'McCain-Romney Republicans'Former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel pressed Democrats to include moderate Republicans in their coalition. (Getty Images) Former Obama White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel encouraged the Democratic Party to appeal to moderate… -
This will be a very close race: Ex-Michigan Democratic Party chairFox News This will be a very close race: Ex-Michigan Democratic Party chair Former Michigan Democratic Party chair Lon Johnson analyzes the stakes of the U.S. Senate race and details what Abdul El-Sayed must do to earn support on 'The… -
'Dead Within the Democratic Party': How AIPAC's Electoral Adventure UnraveledThe lobby's retreat from candidate endorsements follows an election cycle in which targeted Democrats turned AIPAC's spending against it – and former allies questioned what its millions had accomplished 'Dead Within the Democratic Party'… -
Peltola, Democratic Party move to intervene in DOJ election lawsuitThe U.S. Senate campaign of Democrat Mary Peltola is among those asking a federal judge to dismiss a Department of Justice lawsuit that seeks to block election results if she wins. The lawsuit, which President Donald Trump said he… -
Early voting numbers up among Black voters, according to LA Democratic PartyBATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Nearly 300,000 ballots have been cast in the first four days of early voting in Louisiana, and Black voters are making up a larger share of that total than they did in 2022. “We went from 23.4% of early ballots in… -
“How the Consulting Class Is Eating the Democratic Party”An essay by Adam Bonica and Jake Grumbach in the New Republic on the drain political consultants place on the Democratic Party. Their proposal, ultimately, is a short set of parameters for paid consultants that could be adopted as internal… -
South Korea’s Ruling Democratic Party Is Tumbling in the PollsIts in-house gaffes and disputes are largely to blame for the DP’s plummeting approval ratings. On October 19, Gyeonggi, South Korea’s most populous province, held a post-funeral ceremony ahead of a firefighter’s internment. More than… - Democratic Party Protests Acquittal, Relieved to Avoid By-ElectionParty leaders criticize court ruling while acknowledging reduced pressure from potential Seoul mayoral election
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Whither My Democratic Party?Friday, October 23rd | 12 Heshvan 5787 In the current political environment, I’m struggling with an extreme case of what psychologists call “cognitive dissonance.” Put simply, half of me is praying for a Democratic takeover of the House…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions