Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.6median
140230
Median 189.6Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
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Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
59%Gadi Eisenkot
- Gadi Eisenkot59%▲ 4
- Benjamin Netanyahu31%▼ 4
- Naftali Bennett5%
- Amir Ohana2%▼ 1
- Avigdor Lieberman2%▼ 1
- Yair Golan2%▼ 1
- Yair Lapid2%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Gadi Eisenkot: 51% on Oct 21, 59% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eisenkot | 59% | ▲ 4 | 58¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 5.8K |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 31% | ▼ 4 | 28¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 1.4K |
| Naftali Bennett | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 83.00 | |
| Amir Ohana | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 87.00 |
| Yair Golan | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | |
| Yair Lapid | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Israel, Gaza, Netanyahu
Search ›-
Former Israeli army chief Gadi Eisenkot emerges as Netanyahu’s leading election challengerFox News Digital speaks with three experts on Israel’s high-stakes election and the fight over Netanyahu’s political future. The election is set for Oct. 27, 2026. JERUSALEM — Israel’s high-stakes election on Oct. 27 pits the longest… -
Former Israeli military chief Gadi Eisenkot who could displace Netanyahu touts ‘deep bonds’ with USFormer Israel Defense Forces chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, who hopes to unseat Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Tuesday’s elections, is touting the “deep bonds” between Israel and the US at a time when American support for the Jewish… -
BBC Audio | Profile | Gadi EisenkotIsraelis are about to vote in the country's first general election since the Hamas-led attacks of 7 October 2023. According to the polls, Israel's longest-serving prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and his Likud Party face their steepest… - Who is Gadi Eisenkot, Netanyahu’s main challenger in Israel’s elections?One of Gadi Eisenkot’s strongest electoral assets is a simple, undeniable fact: He is not Benjamin Netanyahu. And for many voters in one of the most critical elections in Israel’s history, that may well be enough. But one of his other…
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Who is Gadi Eisenkot, the former Israeli army chief challenging Netanyahu?Sunday October 25, 2026 Gadi Eisenkot, a former chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), is seeking to unseat Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel's 27 October election, campaigning on government accountability, military… -
Gadi Eisenkot | Netanyahu’s challengerAnti-Netanyahu politics — this lies at the heart of Gadi Eisenkot’s campaign for the coming Israeli elections. According to several opinion polls, the strategy appears to be working. With Israel set to go the polls on Tuesday (October 27… -
Israel Election 2026: Netanyahu vs Gadi Eisenkot — Who Is Contesting, Who Is Leading And What Key Candidates Promise On Security, Iran, Gaza And EconomyThree years, two wars, a corruption trial, an International Criminal Court arrest warrant, mass judicial reform protests, repeated coalition crises and the worst intelligence failure in the country’s modern history have all brought Israel… - Opposition Leader Gadi Eisenkot Challenges Netanyahu in Upcoming Israeli ElectionsTel Aviv. Opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot, who is challenging Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel's upcoming elections, is a former military chief. Eisenkot, 66, who spent four decades in the military, is now active in politics…
- Netanyahu's former supporters turn to Gadi Eisenkot in southern Israel's DimonaFormer supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the once Likud party hub of Dimona are campaigning for rival candidate Gadi Eisenkot in the days leading up to Tuesday's election. The ballot is Israel's first since Hamas' October…
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Gadi Eisenkot – Israel’s ‘not Netanyahu’ candidateشبكة تواصل الإخبارية On Tuesday, Israelis choose between a prime minister who has led them for much of the last two decades – and a former army chief who has been in politics for less than four years. Mr Eisenkot’s story is the main thing… -
Gadi Eisenkot: Who Is Netanyahu's Main Rival in Israel's Oct. 27 Election?The election will determine the composition of Israel's 120-member Knesset and could reshape the government's approach to accountability for the Oct. 7 attacks, military service and judicial independence. Eisenkot was born May 19, 1960, in… - ¿Quién es Gadi Eisenkot, el principal rival de Netanyahu en las elecciones en Israel?Por Tal Shalev, CNN Una de las mayores bazas electorales de Gadi Eisenkot es un hecho simple e innegable: no es Benjamin Netanyahu. Y para muchos votantes, en una de las elecciones más críticas de la historia de Israel, eso bien podría…
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140230
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions