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Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)
The odds
14%Avigdor Lieberman
- Avigdor Lieberman14%▲ 5
- Naftali Bennett12%▲ 9
- Bezalel Smotrich12%▼ 2
- Shaul Meridor10%▼ 3
- Keren Terner Eyal4%▼ 1
- Yaron Zelekha4%▼ 1
- Eli Cohen3%▲ 1
- Israel Katz3%▼ 1
- Yair Lapid2%▼ 3
- Aryeh Deri1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu1%
- Chili Tropper1%
6 more
- Moshe Feiglin1%
- Naama Lazimi1%
- Nir Barkat1%
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen1%
- Gadi Eisenkot1%▼ 1
- Yair Golan1%
How the odds have moved
Avigdor Lieberman: 9% on Oct 20, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avigdor Lieberman | 14% | ▲ 5 | 12¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 5.00 |
| Naftali Bennett | 12% | ▲ 9 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.3K |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 12% | ▼ 2 | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 7.7K |
| Shaul Meridor | 10% | ▼ 3 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 680 |
| Keren Terner Eyal | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.7K |
| Yaron Zelekha | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.7K | |
| Eli Cohen | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.1K |
| Israel Katz | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 3.1K | |
| Yair Lapid | 2% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.5K | |
| Aryeh Deri | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.6K | ||
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 7.6K | ||
| Chili Tropper | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.2K | ||
| Moshe Feiglin | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 9.5K | ||
| Naama Lazimi | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.7K | ||
| Nir Barkat | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.2K | ||
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.4K | ||
| Gadi Eisenkot | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.8K | |
| Yair Golan | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Bezalel Smotrich
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions